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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Swindon Town |
42.08% ( -0) | 24.73% ( 0) | 33.19% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 58.02% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.97% ( -0) | 45.03% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.62% ( -0) | 67.38% ( 0.01) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.56% ( -0) | 21.44% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.55% ( -0) | 54.45% ( 0.01) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.85% ( 0) | 26.15% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.77% | 61.23% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Swindon Town |
2-1 @ 8.92% 1-0 @ 8.63% 2-0 @ 6.65% 3-1 @ 4.58% 3-0 @ 3.41% 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.31% 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.56% Total : 42.08% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.98% 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.73% | 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.04% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.47% 2-3 @ 2.67% 0-3 @ 2.26% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.3% Total : 33.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 20 |
3 | Notts County | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Walsall | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Gillingham | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 19 |
6 | BarrowBarrow | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 19 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 18 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 18 |
9 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 17 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 16 |
11 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
12 | Chesterfield | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 15 |
13 | Newport CountyNewport | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 14 |
15 | MK Dons | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
16 | Salford City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 12 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 11 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 11 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 11 |
20 | Bromley | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
21 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 9 |
23 | Morecambe | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 7 |
> League Two Full Table |