MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 02:28:54| >> :600:531153:531153:
Swindon Town
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2024 at 7pm UK
County Ground
Bristol Rovers

Swindon
4 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Glatzel (2', 12'), McGregor (30'), Ameen (35')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Hutchinson (28'), McCormick (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Swindon Town and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Swindon 0-0 Harrogate
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-3 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One

We said: Swindon Town 1-2 Bristol Rovers

 Swindon are likely to name a strong side and are certainly capable of making this a tricky match for Bristol Rovers, but we believe that the visitors will be able to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawBristol Rovers
43.68% (0.028999999999996 0.03) 24.42% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 31.91% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58.62% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.97% (0.036999999999999 0.04)44.03% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.59% (0.037000000000006 0.04)66.41% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.71% (0.030999999999992 0.03)20.29% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.35% (0.044999999999995 0.04)52.65% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.54% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)26.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.37% (0.010999999999996 0.01)61.63% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 43.68%
    Bristol Rovers 31.91%
    Draw 24.41%
Swindon TownDrawBristol Rovers
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 8.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.83%
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.93% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 43.68%
1-1 @ 11.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.41%
1-2 @ 7.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 7.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 31.91%

How you voted: Swindon vs Bristol Rovers

Swindon Town
32.7%
Draw
9.6%
Bristol Rovers
57.7%
52
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Bristol Rovers
3-0
Swindon
Loft (63'), Anderson (76'), McCormick (83')
Jan 22, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 28
Swindon
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Simpson (16')
Iandolo (57')
Finley (35')
Taylor (25'), Finley (32'), Loft (40'), Coutts (74'), Grant (90+4'), Hoole (90+6')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 10
Bristol Rovers
1-3
Swindon
Anderson (17')
Kilgour (79'), Harries (90+4')
Kilgour (84')
Payne (57'), Gladwin (85' pen.), McKirdy (87')
Mar 23, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 29
Bristol Rovers
0-1
Swindon

Upson (21'), Williams (76')
Payne (71')
> Preview
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 13
Swindon
1-0
Bristol Rovers
Pitman (76')
Donohue (38'), Grounds (62'), Odimayo (64')

Nicholson (81')
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