League Two | Gameweek 17
Nov 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Swindon2 - 3Morecambe
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Morecambe.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Accrington 2-2 Swindon
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League Two
Goals
for
for
18
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Morecambe |
49.7% ( 0.04) | 24.55% ( -0) | 25.76% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.98% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.78% ( -0.02) | 48.23% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.63% ( -0.01) | 70.38% ( 0.02) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.57% ( 0.01) | 19.43% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.73% ( 0.02) | 51.27% ( -0.01) |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67% ( -0.04) | 33% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.41% ( -0.04) | 69.59% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
Swindon Town 49.7%
Morecambe 25.76%
Draw 24.54%
| Swindon Town | Draw | Morecambe |
| 1-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.21% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.01% Total : 49.7% | 1-1 @ 11.64% 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.54% | 0-1 @ 7.11% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 25.76% |
Form Guide
