MX23RW : Wednesday, December 4 16:27:35| >> :600:1383034:1383034:
Morecambe
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 12, 2024 at 7pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Carlisle United

Morecambe
1 - 2
Carlisle

Hope (16')
Snowball (45+1'), Lewis (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
O'Donoghue (75'), Williams (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Morecambe and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 1-2 Morecambe
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 0-1 Carlisle
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30pm in League Two

We said: Morecambe 1-0 Carlisle United

Both teams will be focusing on their next matches in League Two, but the chance to put another win on the board and build confidence still makes this an important game, and we are backing Morecambe to edge a close fixture on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawCarlisle United
32.05% (-0.466 -0.47) 26.09% (0.0010000000000012 0) 41.85% (0.462 0.46)
Both teams to score 53.05% (-0.166 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.7% (-0.14599999999999 -0.15)51.3% (0.143 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.87% (-0.126 -0.13)73.12% (0.123 0.12)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.05% (-0.381 -0.38)29.95% (0.379 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.94% (-0.462 -0.46)66.06% (0.459 0.46)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.73% (0.17099999999999 0.17)24.27% (-0.174 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.37% (0.24 0.24)58.63% (-0.243 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 32.05%
    Carlisle United 41.85%
    Draw 26.08%
MorecambeDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 8.76% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.48% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 5.28% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-1 @ 3.01% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.12% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 32.05%
1-1 @ 12.4%
0-0 @ 7.27% (0.041 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 10.29% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 8.79% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.29% (0.113 0.11)
1-3 @ 4.15% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.44% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.47% (0.022 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.22% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 41.85%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Carlisle

Morecambe
65.9%
Draw
22.0%
Carlisle United
12.2%
41
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Morecambe
0-2
Carlisle

Gibson (34')
Gibson (49'), Mellor (54')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 34
Morecambe
3-1
Carlisle
Wildig (32'), Diagouraga (37'), Stockton (53')
Lavelle (12'), Mellor (45+2')
Hayden (79')
Alessandra (39')
Oct 27, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 9
Carlisle
3-1
Morecambe
Songo'o (1' og.), Mellish (3'), Tanner (87')
Riley (37'), Reilly (89')
Songo'o (79')
O'Sullivan (50'), Songo'o (81')
Feb 22, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 35
Carlisle
2-2
Morecambe
Patrick (45'), Hayden (65')
Watt (51'), Anderton (59'), Webster (90')
Stockton (18'), Wildig (24')
Cranston (85')
Dec 7, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 20
Morecambe
1-1
Carlisle
O'Sullivan (50')
Alessandra (33'), Conlan (57')
Hope (47')
Hope (29'), Branthwaite (61')
rhs 2.0
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