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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 50.46%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 25.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Swindon Town |
25.43% ( 0.01) | 24.1% ( 0.02) | 50.46% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 55.11% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.41% ( -0.09) | 46.58% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.14% ( -0.09) | 68.86% ( 0.09) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.61% ( -0.05) | 32.38% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.1% ( -0.05) | 68.9% ( 0.05) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.5% ( -0.05) | 18.49% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.29% ( -0.08) | 49.71% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | Swindon Town |
1-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.43% 2-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.41% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 25.43% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.09% | 0-1 @ 10.1% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.62% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.41% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.8% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.03% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.35% Total : 50.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
3 | Notts County | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 26 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 22 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
8 | MK Dons | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 21 |
11 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Salford City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 20 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 19 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 15 |
18 | Bromley | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 14 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 12 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 |
24 | Morecambe | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 7 |
> League Two Full Table |