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Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 29
Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
County Ground
Tranmere Rovers

Swindon
3 - 1
Tranmere

McGurk (23'), Hepburn-Murphy (35', 64')
McCarthy (39'), Devoy (61')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Apter (25')
Merrie (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Tranmere Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 0-0 Swindon
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 1-0 Tranmere
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Tranmere Rovers

Both sides are struggling at the moment and there are no clear favorites heading into this one. We think this game will end in a draw with both sides finding the net. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawTranmere Rovers
42.08% (-1.95 -1.95) 24.62% (0.24 0.24) 33.3% (1.712 1.71)
Both teams to score 58.46% (-0.153 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.53% (-0.494 -0.49)44.47% (0.495 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.16% (-0.479 -0.48)66.84% (0.48 0.48)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.8% (-1.084 -1.08)21.2% (1.085 1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.92% (-1.71 -1.71)54.08% (1.714 1.71)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.19% (0.816 0.82)25.81% (-0.814 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.23% (1.091 1.09)60.77% (-1.089 -1.09)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 42.08%
    Tranmere Rovers 33.3%
    Draw 24.61%
Swindon TownDrawTranmere Rovers
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.198 -0.2)
1-0 @ 8.49% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-0 @ 6.58% (-0.304 -0.3)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.262 -0.26)
3-0 @ 3.4% (-0.278 -0.28)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.166 -0.17)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.156 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 42.08%
1-1 @ 11.49% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.47% (0.117 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.61%
1-2 @ 7.78% (0.264 0.26)
0-1 @ 7.41% (0.324 0.32)
0-2 @ 5.02% (0.329 0.33)
1-3 @ 3.51% (0.197 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.066 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.27% (0.197 0.2)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.093 0.09)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 33.3%

How you voted: Swindon vs Tranmere

Swindon Town
35.3%
Draw
23.5%
Tranmere Rovers
41.2%
17
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Tranmere
2-1
Swindon
Morris (55'), Davies (72')
Jennings (42'), Walker (57')
Kemp (22')
Shade (82'), Young (89'), Hutton (90+4')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Swindon
1-1
Tranmere
Wakeling (30')
Hawkes (9')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Tranmere
3-0
Swindon
Hemmings (6', 72' pen.), Glatzel (58')
Davies (2')

Mitchell-Lawson (60'), Iandolo (85')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Swindon
0-0
Tranmere
McKirdy (53')
Davies (50'), Knight-Percival (87'), Murphy (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham9612123919
2Notts County9531178918
3Walsall96031710718
4BarrowBarrow9513116516
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster95131212016
6Fleetwood TownFleetwood8431169715
7Port Vale94321412215
8Grimsby Town95041314-115
9Newport CountyNewport95041517-215
10Chesterfield9342158713
11AFC Wimbledon641194513
12Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
13Bradford CityBradford93331110112
14MK Dons93241211111
15Colchester UnitedColchester92431315-210
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham93151114-310
17Tranmere RoversTranmere824248-410
18Harrogate TownHarrogate9315916-710
19Bromley92341214-29
20Salford City823359-49
21Swindon TownSwindon9144913-47
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle92071019-96
23Morecambe9045712-54
24Accrington StanleyAccrington8035918-93


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