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Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 29
Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
County Ground
Tranmere Rovers

Swindon
3 - 1
Tranmere

McGurk (23'), Hepburn-Murphy (35', 64')
McCarthy (39'), Devoy (61')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Apter (25')
Merrie (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Tranmere Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 0-0 Swindon
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 1-0 Tranmere
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Tranmere Rovers

Both sides are struggling at the moment and there are no clear favorites heading into this one. We think this game will end in a draw with both sides finding the net. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawTranmere Rovers
42.08% (-1.95 -1.95) 24.62% (0.24 0.24) 33.3% (1.712 1.71)
Both teams to score 58.46% (-0.153 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.53% (-0.494 -0.49)44.47% (0.495 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.16% (-0.479 -0.48)66.84% (0.48 0.48)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.8% (-1.084 -1.08)21.2% (1.085 1.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.92% (-1.71 -1.71)54.08% (1.714 1.71)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.19% (0.816 0.82)25.81% (-0.814 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.23% (1.091 1.09)60.77% (-1.089 -1.09)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 42.08%
    Tranmere Rovers 33.3%
    Draw 24.61%
Swindon TownDrawTranmere Rovers
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.198 -0.2)
1-0 @ 8.49% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-0 @ 6.58% (-0.304 -0.3)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.262 -0.26)
3-0 @ 3.4% (-0.278 -0.28)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.166 -0.17)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.156 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 42.08%
1-1 @ 11.49% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.47% (0.117 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.61%
1-2 @ 7.78% (0.264 0.26)
0-1 @ 7.41% (0.324 0.32)
0-2 @ 5.02% (0.329 0.33)
1-3 @ 3.51% (0.197 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.066 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.27% (0.197 0.2)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.093 0.09)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 33.3%

How you voted: Swindon vs Tranmere

Swindon Town
35.3%
Draw
23.5%
Tranmere Rovers
41.2%
17
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Tranmere
2-1
Swindon
Morris (55'), Davies (72')
Jennings (42'), Walker (57')
Kemp (22')
Shade (82'), Young (89'), Hutton (90+4')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Swindon
1-1
Tranmere
Wakeling (30')
Hawkes (9')
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Tranmere
3-0
Swindon
Hemmings (6', 72' pen.), Glatzel (58')
Davies (2')

Mitchell-Lawson (60'), Iandolo (85')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Swindon
0-0
Tranmere
McKirdy (53')
Davies (50'), Knight-Percival (87'), Murphy (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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