League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Swindon1 - 1Tranmere
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Stockport 4-0 Swindon
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 Tranmere
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
We said: Swindon Town 1-0 Tranmere Rovers
Tranmere do not travel well to the County Ground, with a poor recent record there in recent years. That, combined with the fact that Swindon are slightly above them in the table, means that they may well fall to a narrow defeat. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 51.41%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 22.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
51.41% ( 0.03) | 26.03% ( 0) | 22.55% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 46.28% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.3% ( -0.04) | 56.7% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.35% ( -0.03) | 77.65% ( 0.03) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.87% ( -0) | 22.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.49% ( -0) | 55.51% ( -0) |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.44% ( -0.06) | 40.56% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.83% ( -0.05) | 77.16% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
Swindon Town 51.39%
Tranmere Rovers 22.55%
Draw 26.03%
| Swindon Town | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 13.53% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.92% Total : 51.39% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.68% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 8.1% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 1.28% Total : 22.55% |
How you voted: Swindon vs Tranmere
Swindon Town
60.0%Draw
0.0%Tranmere Rovers
40.0%5
Form Guide
