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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Tranmere Rovers

Swindon
1 - 1
Tranmere

Wakeling (30')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hawkes (9')
Turnbull (34'), Nevitt (59'), Simeu (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Tranmere Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Stockport 4-0 Swindon
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 Tranmere
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

We said: Swindon Town 1-0 Tranmere Rovers

 Tranmere do not travel well to the County Ground, with a poor recent record there in recent years. That, combined with the fact that Swindon are slightly above them in the table, means that they may well fall to a narrow defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 51.41%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 22.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawTranmere Rovers
51.41% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 26.03% (0.00099999999999767 0) 22.55% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 46.28% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.3% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)56.7% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.35% (-0.029 -0.03)77.65% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.87% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.49% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)55.51% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.44% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)40.56% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.83% (-0.052 -0.05)77.16% (0.048999999999992 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 51.39%
    Tranmere Rovers 22.55%
    Draw 26.03%
Swindon TownDrawTranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 13.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.21% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.13% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.63% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 51.39%
1-1 @ 12.21%
0-0 @ 8.98% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 26.03%
0-1 @ 8.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.66% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 22.55%

How you voted: Swindon vs Tranmere

Swindon Town
60.0%
Draw
0.0%
Tranmere Rovers
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Tranmere
3-0
Swindon
Hemmings (6', 72' pen.), Glatzel (58')
Davies (2')

Mitchell-Lawson (60'), Iandolo (85')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Swindon
0-0
Tranmere

McKirdy (53')

Davies (50'), Knight-Percival (87'), Murphy (90+5')
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Tranmere
1-2
Swindon
Norwood (52')
Monthe (88'), Buxton (90')
Richards (20'), Doughty (36')
Aug 18, 2018 3pm
Swindon
3-2
Tranmere
Adebayo (20'), Richards (60'), Romanski (73')
McGlashan (43')
Smith (10'), Norwood (13')
Davies (41'), Banks (73')
Harris (18')
Mar 25, 2014 7.45pm
Tranmere
1-2
Swindon
Power (15')
Robinson (88')
Smith (12'), Storey (68')
Reckford (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137
> League Two Full Table


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