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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Tranmere Rovers

Swindon
1 - 1
Tranmere

Wakeling (30')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hawkes (9')
Turnbull (34'), Nevitt (59'), Simeu (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Tranmere Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Stockport 4-0 Swindon
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 Tranmere
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

We said: Swindon Town 1-0 Tranmere Rovers

 Tranmere do not travel well to the County Ground, with a poor recent record there in recent years. That, combined with the fact that Swindon are slightly above them in the table, means that they may well fall to a narrow defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 51.41%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 22.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawTranmere Rovers
51.41% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 26.03% (0.00099999999999767 0) 22.55% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 46.28% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.3% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)56.7% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.35% (-0.029 -0.03)77.65% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.87% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.49% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)55.51% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.44% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)40.56% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.83% (-0.052 -0.05)77.16% (0.048999999999992 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 51.39%
    Tranmere Rovers 22.55%
    Draw 26.03%
Swindon TownDrawTranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 13.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.21% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.13% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.63% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 51.39%
1-1 @ 12.21%
0-0 @ 8.98% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 26.03%
0-1 @ 8.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.66% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 22.55%

How you voted: Swindon vs Tranmere

Swindon Town
60.0%
Draw
0.0%
Tranmere Rovers
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Tranmere
3-0
Swindon
Hemmings (6', 72' pen.), Glatzel (58')
Davies (2')

Mitchell-Lawson (60'), Iandolo (85')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Swindon
0-0
Tranmere

McKirdy (53')

Davies (50'), Knight-Percival (87'), Murphy (90+5')
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Tranmere
1-2
Swindon
Norwood (52')
Monthe (88'), Buxton (90')
Richards (20'), Doughty (36')
Aug 18, 2018 3pm
Swindon
3-2
Tranmere
Adebayo (20'), Richards (60'), Romanski (73')
McGlashan (43')
Smith (10'), Norwood (13')
Davies (41'), Banks (73')
Harris (18')
Mar 25, 2014 7.45pm
Tranmere
1-2
Swindon
Power (15')
Robinson (88')
Smith (12'), Storey (68')
Reckford (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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