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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
The County Ground
Tranmere Rovers

Swindon
1 - 1
Tranmere

Wakeling (30')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hawkes (9')
Turnbull (34'), Nevitt (59'), Simeu (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Tranmere Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Stockport 4-0 Swindon
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 Tranmere
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

We said: Swindon Town 1-0 Tranmere Rovers

 Tranmere do not travel well to the County Ground, with a poor recent record there in recent years. That, combined with the fact that Swindon are slightly above them in the table, means that they may well fall to a narrow defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 51.41%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 22.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawTranmere Rovers
51.41% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 26.03% (0.00099999999999767 0) 22.55% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 46.28% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.3% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)56.7% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.35% (-0.029 -0.03)77.65% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.87% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.49% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)55.51% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.44% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)40.56% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.83% (-0.052 -0.05)77.16% (0.048999999999992 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 51.39%
    Tranmere Rovers 22.55%
    Draw 26.03%
Swindon TownDrawTranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 13.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.21% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.13% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.63% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 51.39%
1-1 @ 12.21%
0-0 @ 8.98% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 26.03%
0-1 @ 8.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.66% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 22.55%

How you voted: Swindon vs Tranmere

Swindon Town
60.0%
Draw
0.0%
Tranmere Rovers
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Tranmere
3-0
Swindon
Hemmings (6', 72' pen.), Glatzel (58')
Davies (2')

Mitchell-Lawson (60'), Iandolo (85')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Swindon
0-0
Tranmere

McKirdy (53')

Davies (50'), Knight-Percival (87'), Murphy (90+5')
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Tranmere
1-2
Swindon
Norwood (52')
Monthe (88'), Buxton (90')
Richards (20'), Doughty (36')
Aug 18, 2018 3pm
Swindon
3-2
Tranmere
Adebayo (20'), Richards (60'), Romanski (73')
McGlashan (43')
Smith (10'), Norwood (13')
Davies (41'), Banks (73')
Harris (18')
Mar 25, 2014 7.45pm
Tranmere
1-2
Swindon
Power (15')
Robinson (88')
Smith (12'), Storey (68')
Reckford (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4AFC Wimbledon35179946232360
5Notts County351610953371658
6Port Vale34151364335858
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town35175135151056
9Colchester UnitedColchester35121674032852
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City351311114337650
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham351210134650-446
15Chesterfield34129135243945
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport35127164556-1143
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3599173954-1536
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627
> League Two Full Table


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