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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a MK Dons win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Swindon Town has a probability of 37.47% and a draw has a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.13%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Swindon Town win is 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.89%).
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | MK Dons |
37.47% ( -0.59) | 23.93% ( -0.14) | 38.6% ( 0.73) |
Both teams to score 61.73% ( 0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.47% ( 0.69) | 40.53% ( -0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.09% ( 0.7) | 62.91% ( -0.7) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.29% ( 0.01) | 21.71% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.13% ( 0.02) | 54.87% ( -0.01) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.85% ( 0.66) | 21.15% ( -0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.99% ( 1.02) | 54.01% ( -1.02) |
Score Analysis |
Swindon Town | Draw | MK Dons |
2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.61% Total : 37.47% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.93% | 1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.38% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.75% Total : 38.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |