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Championship header 2

League Two
Tranmere Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Prenton Park
Swindon Town

Tranmere
2 - 1
Swindon

Morris (55'), Davies (72')
Jennings (42'), Walker (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kemp (22')
Shade (82'), Young (89'), Hutton (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Walsall 1-0 Tranmere
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-3 Barrow
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Tranmere Rovers 2-1 Swindon Town

 Given their recent run of results against the hosts, Swindon Town will fancy themselves to come away with the desired result this weekend. However, Tranmere have won their last three home games in the league and we are tipping them to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 36.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Tranmere Rovers in this match.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawSwindon Town
39.14% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 24.06% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 36.8% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 61.22% (0.132 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.82% (0.175 0.17)41.18% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.43% (0.17599999999999 0.18)63.57% (-0.18 -0.18)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.83% (0.096999999999994 0.1)21.17% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.96% (0.155 0.16)54.04% (-0.158 -0.16)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.66% (0.069000000000003 0.07)22.34% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.18% (0.104 0.1)55.82% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 39.14%
    Swindon Town 36.8%
    Draw 24.05%
Tranmere RoversDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 7.34% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.42% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.95% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 39.14%
1-1 @ 11% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.4% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.05%
1-2 @ 8.25% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.09% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.2% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.66% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.54% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.2% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 36.8%

How you voted: Tranmere vs Swindon

Tranmere Rovers
75.0%
Draw
20.8%
Swindon Town
4.2%
24
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Tranmere
1-0
Swindon
Saunders (22')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Swindon
1-1
Tranmere
Wakeling (30')
Hawkes (9')
> Preview
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Tranmere
3-0
Swindon
Hemmings (6', 72' pen.), Glatzel (58')
Davies (2')

Mitchell-Lawson (60'), Iandolo (85')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Swindon
0-0
Tranmere
McKirdy (53')
Davies (50'), Knight-Percival (87'), Murphy (90+5')
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 29
Tranmere
1-2
Swindon
Norwood (52')
Monthe (88'), Buxton (90')
Richards (20'), Doughty (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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