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Championship header 2

League Two
Tranmere Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Prenton Park
Swindon Town

Tranmere
2 - 1
Swindon

Morris (55'), Davies (72')
Jennings (42'), Walker (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kemp (22')
Shade (82'), Young (89'), Hutton (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Walsall 1-0 Tranmere
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-3 Barrow
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Tranmere Rovers 2-1 Swindon Town

 Given their recent run of results against the hosts, Swindon Town will fancy themselves to come away with the desired result this weekend. However, Tranmere have won their last three home games in the league and we are tipping them to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 36.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Tranmere Rovers in this match.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawSwindon Town
39.14% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 24.06% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 36.8% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 61.22% (0.132 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.82% (0.175 0.17)41.18% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.43% (0.17599999999999 0.18)63.57% (-0.18 -0.18)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.83% (0.096999999999994 0.1)21.17% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.96% (0.155 0.16)54.04% (-0.158 -0.16)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.66% (0.069000000000003 0.07)22.34% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.18% (0.104 0.1)55.82% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 39.14%
    Swindon Town 36.8%
    Draw 24.05%
Tranmere RoversDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 7.34% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.42% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.95% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 39.14%
1-1 @ 11% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.4% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.05%
1-2 @ 8.25% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.09% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.2% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.66% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.54% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.2% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 36.8%

How you voted: Tranmere vs Swindon

Tranmere Rovers
75.0%
Draw
20.8%
Swindon Town
4.2%
24
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Tranmere
1-0
Swindon
Saunders (22')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Swindon
1-1
Tranmere
Wakeling (30')
Hawkes (9')
> Preview
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Tranmere
3-0
Swindon
Hemmings (6', 72' pen.), Glatzel (58')
Davies (2')

Mitchell-Lawson (60'), Iandolo (85')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Swindon
0-0
Tranmere
McKirdy (53')
Davies (50'), Knight-Percival (87'), Murphy (90+5')
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 29
Tranmere
1-2
Swindon
Norwood (52')
Monthe (88'), Buxton (90')
Richards (20'), Doughty (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137
> League Two Full Table


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