League Two

League Two | Gameweek 27

Feb 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Poundland Bescot Stadium

Walsall
3 - 0
Morecambe

Tierney (13'), Matt (26'), Adegboyega (65')
Comley (23'), Gordon (58'), Knowles (62'), Earing (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Brannan (24'), Stokes (53'), Tutonda (80')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Walsall and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Walsall

All competitions

Last Game: Walsall 2-1 Mansfield
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Morecambe

All competitions

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Morecambe
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Walsall 1-1 Morecambe

Morecambe would do well to cause chaos with long throws into the Walsall box, but the Saddlers are an extremely tough nut to crack at Banks's Stadium and have all the motivation they need to succeed on Tuesday. The visitors' penchant for goalscoring on the road should still help them to a degree, as will their superior head-to-head record, but we are finding it impossible to separate the two outfits on this occasion; a third successive 1-1 for Walsall could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 46.85%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.

Result
Walsall	Draw	Morecambe
46.85% ( -1.3)	25.07% ( -0.05)	28.09% ( 1.35)

Both teams to score 54.23% (

1.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.21% (

1.08)

48.79% (

-1.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.1% (

0.98)

70.89% (

-0.97)

Walsall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.14% (

-0.12)

20.86% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.45% (

-0.19)

53.55% (

0.19)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.52% (

1.62)

31.48% (

-1.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.14% (

1.83)

67.86% (

-1.82)

Score Analysis

Walsall 46.85%

Morecambe 28.09%

Draw 25.06%

Walsall	Draw	Morecambe
1-0 @ 10.29% ( -0.5) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.43) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.61% Total : 46.85%	1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.06%	0-1 @ 7.59% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.22) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.82% Total : 28.09%