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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 53.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.3%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Morecambe in this match.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Walsall |
21.7% ( -2.53) | 25.1% ( -1.29) | 53.2% ( 3.82) |
Both teams to score 47.87% ( 0.83) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.92% ( 2.53) | 54.08% ( -2.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.49% ( 2.07) | 75.51% ( -2.08) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.07% ( -1.01) | 39.93% ( 1.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.41% ( -0.94) | 76.59% ( 0.94) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.68% ( 2.67) | 20.32% ( -2.67) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.3% ( 4.09) | 52.7% ( -4.09) |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | Walsall |
1-0 @ 7.45% ( -1) 2-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.41) 2-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.57) 3-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.21) Other @ 1.34% Total : 21.7% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.54) 0-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.83) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.78% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 10.3% ( 0.63) 1-2 @ 9.46% ( 0.33) 0-3 @ 5.47% ( 0.73) 1-3 @ 5.02% ( 0.55) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.2) 0-4 @ 2.18% ( 0.44) 1-4 @ 2% ( 0.36) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.61% Total : 53.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |