MX23RW : Monday, March 10 23:14:30| >> :60:110:110:
Orlando City
Leagues Cup | Round of 32
Aug 10, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Orlando City Stadium

Orlando City
0 - 0
Cruz Azul


Brekalo (46')
FT

Piovi (85')
Cruz Azul win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Leagues Cup clash between Orlando City and Cruz Azul, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Orlando City 1-1 Cruz Azul (Orlando City advances on penalties)

This may be the toughest match to call in this round as both sides boast some strong attacking pieces and outstanding goalkeeping, but the home crowd may give the Lions a slight edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawCruz Azul
39.32% (0.218 0.22) 25.19% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 35.48% (-0.207 -0.21)
Both teams to score 56.93% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.33% (0.022000000000006 0.02)46.67% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.07% (0.021999999999998 0.02)68.93% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.5% (0.124 0.12)23.5% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.47% (0.177 0.18)57.53% (-0.175 -0.17)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.42% (-0.107 -0.11)25.58% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.55% (-0.148 -0.15)60.45% (0.149 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 39.32%
    Cruz Azul 35.48%
    Draw 25.19%
Orlando CityDrawCruz Azul
1-0 @ 8.71% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.59% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.3% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.15% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.04% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 39.32%
1-1 @ 11.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.86%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 8.19% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.09% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.59% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.68% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.54% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 35.48%

How you voted: Orlando City vs Cruz Azul

Orlando City
56.3%
Draw
6.3%
Cruz Azul
37.5%
16
rhs 2.0
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3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
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5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
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8Aston Villa2912984145-445
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14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
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