Major League Soccer

Jul 7, 2024 at 12.30am UK

Orlando City Stadium

Orlando City
5 - 0
DC United

Ojeda (19'), Jansson (23'), Angulo (42'), Torres (74'), Enrique (85')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Sargis (64')
Bartlett (45+2')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions

Last Game: Toronto 1-2 Orlando City
Thursday, July 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

DC United

All competitions

Last Game: DC United 2-3 Cincinnati
Thursday, July 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Orlando City 2-1 DC United

Orlando have struggled to find consistency throughout the campaign, although this weekend's visit of the Eastern Conference's bottom side represents a great chance for the Lions to secure back-to-back wins. DC United are stumbling from one defeat to the next, and even with the return of Benteke, we believe that the Black and Red will slump to another loss on Saturday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 55.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for DC United had a probability of 21.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando City	Draw	DC United
55.08% ( -0.16)	23.5% ( -0.05)	21.41% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 52.23% (

0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.91% (

0.42)

48.09% (

-0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.74% (

0.38)

70.25% (

-0.39)

Orlando City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.68% (

0.09)

17.32% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.31% (

0.17)

47.68% (

-0.17)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.17% (

0.44)

36.82% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.38% (

0.44)

73.61% (

-0.44)

Score Analysis

Orlando City 55.08%

DC United 21.41%

Draw 23.5%

Orlando City	Draw	DC United
1-0 @ 11.18% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.72% Total : 55.08%	1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.5%	0-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.73% Total : 21.41%