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Major League Soccer
Orlando City
Major League Soccer
Jul 7, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Orlando City Stadium
DC United

Orlando City
5 - 0
DC United

Ojeda (19'), Jansson (23'), Angulo (42'), Torres (74'), Enrique (85')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Sargis (64')
Bartlett (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Orlando City and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orlando City

All competitions
Last Game: Toronto 1-2 Orlando City
Thursday, July 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

DC United

All competitions
Last Game: DC United 2-3 Cincinnati
Thursday, July 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 2-1 DC United

 Orlando have struggled to find consistency throughout the campaign, although this weekend's visit of the Eastern Conference's bottom side represents a great chance for the Lions to secure back-to-back wins. DC United are stumbling from one defeat to the next, and even with the return of Benteke, we believe that the Black and Red will slump to another loss on Saturday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 55.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for DC United had a probability of 21.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawDC United
55.08% (-0.162 -0.16) 23.5% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 21.41% (0.205 0.2)
Both teams to score 52.23% (0.422 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.91% (0.421 0.42)48.09% (-0.424 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.74% (0.383 0.38)70.25% (-0.387 -0.39)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.68% (0.093000000000004 0.09)17.32% (-0.096999999999998 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.31% (0.167 0.17)47.68% (-0.17 -0.17)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.17% (0.437 0.44)36.82% (-0.442 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.38% (0.437 0.44)73.61% (-0.44 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 55.08%
    DC United 21.41%
    Draw 23.5%
Orlando CityDrawDC United
1-0 @ 11.18% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-0 @ 9.8% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.73% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.72% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.045 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 55.08%
1-1 @ 11.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.38% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.89% (0.062 0.06)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.5%
0-1 @ 6.37% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.58% (0.054 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.18% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.86% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 21.41%

How you voted: Orlando City vs DC United

Orlando City
60.0%
Draw
23.3%
DC United
16.7%
30
Head to Head
Apr 14, 2024 12.30am
DC United
2-3
Orlando City
Benteke (5'), Pirani (66')
Herrera (42'), Lesesne (43'), Hopkins (45+4'), Antley (45'), Dajome (45+2'), Klich (49'), Brekalo (88'), Benteke (88')
Dan Thor­halls­son (28'), Brekalo (82'), McGuire (90+1')
Cartagena (42'), Dan Thor­halls­son (55')
Apr 23, 2023 12.30am
Orlando City
1-3
DC United
> Preview
Mar 12, 2023 12.30am
DC United
1-1
Orlando City
Durkin (80')
McGuire (53')
> Preview
Jul 31, 2022 10pm
DC United
2-1
Orlando City
Durkin (90+1'), Fountas (90+5')
Djeffal (8')
Urso (9')
Moutinho (69'), Michel (88')
> Preview
Jul 5, 2022 12am
Orlando City
3-5
DC United
Schlegel (50')
Robertha (90')
> Preview
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721
> Full Version


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