Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jul 21, 2024 at 4.05am UK
Estadio Azteca
Cruz Azul1 - 1Toluca
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Toluca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cruz Azul 3-0 Tijuana
Wednesday, July 17 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Wednesday, July 17 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 3-0 Mazatlan
Thursday, July 18 at 4am in Liga MX
Thursday, July 18 at 4am in Liga MX
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 50.61%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 25.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cruz Azul | Draw | Toluca |
50.61% ( -0.31) | 23.83% ( 0.14) | 25.56% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 56.14% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
