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Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jul 21, 2024 at 4.05am UK
Estadio Azteca

Cruz Azul
1 - 1
Toluca

Sepulveda (90')
Rodriguez (12'), Giakoumakis (55')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Araujo (38')
Gallardo (31'), Ruiz (42')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Toluca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruz Azul

All competitions
Last Game: Cruz Azul 3-0 Tijuana
Wednesday, July 17 at 4.05am in Liga MX

Toluca

All competitions
Last Game: Toluca 3-0 Mazatlan
Thursday, July 18 at 4am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 50.61%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 25.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Cruz AzulDrawToluca
50.61% (-0.308 -0.31) 23.83% (0.144 0.14) 25.56% (0.164 0.16)
Both teams to score 56.14% (-0.321 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.72% (-0.498 -0.5)45.28% (0.498 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.38% (-0.479 -0.48)67.62% (0.479 0.48)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06% (-0.304 -0.3)17.94% (0.305 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.23% (-0.527 -0.53)48.76% (0.527 0.53)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.41% (-0.137 -0.14)31.58% (0.138 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.01% (-0.157 -0.16)67.98% (0.157 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Cruz Azul 50.61%
    Toluca 25.56%
    Draw 23.83%
Cruz AzulDrawToluca
1-0 @ 9.74% (0.112 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.36% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.52% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.79% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.06% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 50.61%
1-1 @ 11.22% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.67% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.83%
0-1 @ 6.53% (0.114 0.11)
1-2 @ 6.47% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.76% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 25.56%

Head to Head
Apr 28, 2024 2am
Gameweek 17
Toluca
0-1
Cruz Azul
Ditta (18')
Rodriguez (71'), Candido (73')
Jul 9, 2023 12.50am
Gameweek 2
Cruz Azul
0-2
Toluca

Cambindo (52'), Rivero (53'), Jimenez (83'), Rotondi (90+3')
Jurado (39')
Volpi (37' pen.), Dominguez (90+2')
Lopez (29'), Huerta (29'), Dominguez (57'), Araujo (65')
> Preview
Feb 12, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 6
Toluca
3-1
Cruz Azul
Araujo (32', 54'), Saucedo (87')
Rotondi (28')
Aug 14, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 8
Cruz Azul
2-3
Toluca
Funes Mori (18'), Huescas (81')
Carneiro (69'), Baca (90+1'), Rivero (90+1'), Uriel (90+2')
Jurado (90+1')
Meneses (30'), Ruiz (43'), Sanvezzo (90+5' pen.)
Huerta (44'), Volpi (62')
Feb 21, 2022 12.05am
Gameweek 6
Toluca
1-4
Cruz Azul
Rodriguez (5'), Baeza (40'), Garcia (53')
Lira (13'), Rodriguez (24'), Escobar (57'), Mayorga (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810
> Liga MX Full Table


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