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Liga MX | Gameweek 3
Jul 17, 2024 at 4.05am UK
Estadio Azteca

Cruz Azul
3 - 0
Tijuana

Giakoumakis (33', 52'), Rivero (45+2')
Anselmi (27'), Garcia (48')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Corona (40'), Reynoso (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Liga MX clash between Cruz Azul and Club Tijuana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monterrey 0-4 Cruz Azul
Sunday, July 14 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 4-2 Guadalajara
Saturday, July 13 at 4am in Liga MX

We said: Cruz Azul 2-1 Club Tijuana

Both teams will be looking to lay down an early title marker and claim sole ownership of top spot with a win here. We are anticipating a keenly-contested game with the hosts just about edging it in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 55.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 21.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result
Cruz AzulDrawClub Tijuana
55.44% (0.147 0.15) 23.17% (0.16 0.16) 21.39% (-0.31 -0.31)
Both teams to score 53.28% (-0.959 -0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.31% (-1.061 -1.06)46.68% (1.058 1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.05% (-1.003 -1)68.95% (1 1)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.31% (-0.327 -0.33)16.69% (0.325 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.43% (-0.588 -0.59)46.56% (0.58600000000001 0.59)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.95% (-0.897 -0.9)36.05% (0.896 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.17% (-0.926 -0.93)72.83% (0.92399999999999 0.92)
Score Analysis
    Cruz Azul 55.44%
    Club Tijuana 21.39%
    Draw 23.16%
Cruz AzulDrawClub Tijuana
1-0 @ 10.77% (0.36 0.36)
2-1 @ 9.84% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.64% (0.219 0.22)
3-1 @ 5.87% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.76% (0.069 0.07)
3-2 @ 3% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.63% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.58% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 55.44%
1-1 @ 10.98% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.02% (0.264 0.26)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.16%
0-1 @ 6.14% (0.124 0.12)
1-2 @ 5.61% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.91% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 21.39%

How you voted: Cruz Azul vs Tijuana

Cruz Azul
76.9%
Draw
7.7%
Club Tijuana
15.4%
26
Head to Head
Jan 31, 2024 1am
Gameweek 4
Cruz Azul
1-0
Tijuana
Sepulveda (46')
Rodriguez (45+2'), Fernandez (45+7'), Uriel (45+2'), Faravelli (50'), Guerrero (79'), Sepulveda (82')

Contreras (40'), Eduardo Fernandez Inzunza (88')
Jul 15, 2023 4.10am
Gameweek 3
Tijuana
2-1
Cruz Azul
Gonzalez (57'), Cambindo (90+2' og.)
Rodriguez (50')
Rivero (45')
Salcedo (90+5'), Cambindo (90')
Jan 9, 2023 3.10am
Aug 18, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 9
Cruz Azul
1-2
Tijuana
Rivero (20')
Funes Mori (25' og.)
Lopez (20'), Montecinos (38')
Jan 9, 2022 3am
Gameweek 1
Cruz Azul
2-0
Tijuana
Rodriguez (43'), Baca (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul54101111013
2MonterreyMonterrey641188013
3TolucaToluca532094511
4Tigres532072511
5Atlas532085311
6Club TijuanaTijuana63211210211
7PumasPumas5311105510
8Atletico San Luis622210828
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara52217528
10NecaxaNecaxa52128447
11PueblaPuebla6213710-37
12Club AmericaAmerica52036606
13Club Leon504158-34
14MazatlanMazatlan511358-34
15PachucaPachuca511326-44
16Santos LagunaSantos Laguna6024310-72
17Juarez5014612-61
18QueretaroQueretaro6006315-120


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