Leagues Cup | Group Stage
Aug 2, 2024 at 2am UK
SeatGeek Stadium
Toluca3 - 1Chicago Fire
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-1 Toluca
Sunday, July 21 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Sunday, July 21 at 4.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Kansas 2-1 Chicago Fire
Monday, July 29 at 2am in Leagues Cup
Monday, July 29 at 2am in Leagues Cup
Goals
for
for
30
We said: Toluca 2-0 Chicago Fire
Losing by such narrow margins time and again can weigh heavily on a team, and it seems as though the Fire cannot get out of this current slump despite their best efforts. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 65.61%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 15.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 1-0 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Chicago Fire |
65.61% ( -0.29) | 18.71% ( 0.12) | 15.68% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 57.84% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.49% ( -0.28) | 35.5% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.44% ( -0.31) | 57.55% ( 0.3) |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.87% ( -0.15) | 10.12% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.68% ( -0.34) | 33.31% ( 0.33) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.35% ( 0.02) | 35.64% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.58% ( 0.02) | 72.41% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Toluca 65.61%
Chicago Fire 15.68%
Draw 18.71%
| Toluca | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.13% Total : 65.61% | 1-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 18.71% | 1-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 15.68% |
How you voted: Toluca vs Chicago Fire
Toluca
78.8%Draw
12.1%Chicago Fire
9.1%33
Form Guide
