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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Jul 8, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Avaya Stadium
Chicago Fire

Earthquakes
1 - 0
Chicago Fire

Lopez (49')
Lopez (62'), Skahan (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Czichos (24'), Acosta (37'), Herbers (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Louis City 2-0 Earthquakes
Thursday, July 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 4-3 Philadelphia
Thursday, July 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire will be licking their lips as they welcome the challenge of a floundering San Jose Earthquakes side who have picked up just one point in their last nine league games. Off the back of a hard-fought win over Philadelphia, we fancy the Men in Red to secure all three points at PayPal Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 27.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawChicago Fire
49.27% (-0.399 -0.4) 22.92% (-0.093 -0.09) 27.81% (0.49 0.49)
Both teams to score 61.35% (0.752 0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.68% (0.807 0.81)39.31% (-0.809 -0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.34% (0.84 0.84)61.65% (-0.842 -0.84)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.79% (0.157 0.16)16.2% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.31% (0.28599999999999 0.29)45.69% (-0.288 -0.29)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.21% (0.759 0.76)26.79% (-0.761 -0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.92% (0.99 0.99)62.07% (-0.992 -0.99)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 49.27%
    Chicago Fire 27.81%
    Draw 22.91%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawChicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.052000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 7.9% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-0 @ 7.19% (-0.197 -0.2)
3-1 @ 5.74% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 4.36% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.78% (0.08 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.61% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.98% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.72% (0.046 0.05)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 49.27%
1-1 @ 10.4% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 6.24% (0.098 0.1)
0-0 @ 4.34% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.91%
1-2 @ 6.85% (0.073 0.07)
0-1 @ 5.72% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.77% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.01% (0.095 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.74% (0.1 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.65% (0.043 0.04)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.052 0.05)
2-4 @ 0.9% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 27.81%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Chicago Fire

San Jose Earthquakes
15.4%
Draw
30.8%
Chicago Fire
53.8%
39
Head to Head
Jul 4, 2022 2am
Earthquakes
2-1
Chicago Fire
Kikanovic (47', 87')
Marie (63'), Kikanovic (73'), Lopez (75')
Gutierrez (90+5')
Mueller (27'), Gimenez (43')
Aug 6, 2020 1am
May 18, 2019 8.30pm
Gameweek 15
Earthquakes
4-1
Chicago Fire
Wondolowski (21', 48', 74', 76')
Espinoza (54')
Katai (83')
Kappelhof (41'), Corrales (63'), Calvo (86'), Katai (95')
Jun 3, 2018 1.30am
Gameweek 16
Chicago Fire
2-1
Earthquakes
Gordon (29'), Katai (49')
Corrales (57')
Hoesen (74')
Alashe (45'), Ockford (61')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami33218473472671
2Columbus Crew32179665382760
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati33175115647956
4Orlando City331571158481052
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC33139114337648
6New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls33111485347647
7New York City FCNY City32138115146547
8DC United331010135267-1540
9CF MontrealMontreal331010134664-1840
10Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia33910146153837
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta33910144448-437
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3289153451-1733
14New England RevolutionNew England3294193564-2931
15Chicago Fire3379174059-1930

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy32187766471961
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles33187859411861
3Seattle SoundersSeattle33159949341554
4Real Salt LakeSalt Lake321411762471553
5Houston DynamoHouston34149114539651
6Colorado RapidsColorado33156125956351
7Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd33147125448649
8Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver32138115045547
9Portland TimbersPortland32129116455945
10St Louis City34913125059-940
11Austin FCAustin32109133544-939
12Dallas32107155255-337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195065-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3263234074-3421


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