Major League Soccer
Jul 4, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Soldier Field
Chicago Fire4 - 3Philadelphia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Seattle 2-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, June 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
24
Last Game: Montreal 4-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, June 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Sunday, June 30 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Goals
for
for
33
We said: Chicago Fire 1-1 Philadelphia Union
Both teams head into Thursday's contest lacking confidence and momentum as a result of their recent ruts, and we anticipate a hard-fought game with three crucial points on the line. Having both struggled for consistent victories, we see a low-scoring draw as the most likely outcome and anticipate the sides sharing the spoils at Soldier Field. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 53.71%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 23.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
53.71% ( 0.21) | 22.38% ( 0) | 23.91% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 59.26% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
