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Liga MX | Gameweek 2
Jul 13, 2024 at 4am UK
Estadio Caliente

Tijuana
4 - 2
Guadalajara

Blanco (27'), Zuniga (66', 90+3'), Rivera (86' pen.)
Gonzalez (19'), Reynoso (32')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cowell (69'), Gonzalez (90+10')
Alfonso Guzman Guzman (76'), Gutierrez (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Liga MX clash between Club Tijuana and CD Guadalajara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Tijuana

All competitions
Last Game: Queretaro 1-2 Tijuana
Saturday, July 6 at 2am in Liga MX

CD Guadalajara

All competitions
Last Game: Guadalajara 0-0 Toluca
Sunday, July 7 at 2am in Liga MX

We said: Club Tijuana 1-0 CD Guadalajara

 Despite their overwhelming experience and quality on paper, Chivas's final ball has let them down many times in recent outings, and it may take some time for them to regain their confidence in front of goal. Tijuana showed plenty of poise and resilience in their opening game, while they look like a more dynamic and creative group that could create some surprises this season, including on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Club Tijuana would win this match.

Result
Club TijuanaDrawCD Guadalajara
45.45% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 25.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 28.64% (0.026 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.94% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.05% (0.026000000000003 0.03)51.95% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.3% (0.023 0.02)73.69% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.19% (0.0010000000000048 0)22.81% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)56.52% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.29% (0.030999999999992 0.03)32.71% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.74% (0.035 0.04)69.26% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Club Tijuana 45.45%
    CD Guadalajara 28.64%
    Draw 25.91%
Club TijuanaDrawCD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 11.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.15% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.49%
3-0 @ 4.02% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.66%
4-0 @ 1.48% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 45.45%
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 7.46% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.34% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 6.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 4.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 28.64%

How you voted: Tijuana vs Guadalajara

Club Tijuana
57.1%
Draw
19.0%
CD Guadalajara
23.8%
21
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 3am
Gameweek 3
Tijuana
1-1
Guadalajara
Gonzalez (19')
Blanco (14'), Rodriguez (57'), Diaz (87'), Zuniga (87')
Alvarado (66')
Alvarado (5'), Orozco (82'), Gonzalez (87')
Gonzalez (90+5')
Aug 23, 2023 2am
Gameweek 5
Guadalajara
1-0
Tijuana
Alvarado (67')
Orozco (47'), Alvarado (63'), Rios (90+5')

Balanta (47'), Diaz (90+7')
Cavallini (45+4')
Feb 16, 2023 1.05am
Gameweek 7
Guadalajara
2-1
Tijuana
Alfonso Guzman Guzman (39' pen., 90' pen.)
Lertora (26')
Sep 8, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 13
Tijuana
1-2
Guadalajara
Di Santo (58')
Alvarado (47'), Olivas (67')
Apr 20, 2022 3am
Gameweek 15
Guadalajara
2-1
Tijuana
Perez (54')
Orozco (45+4')

Barbona (60'), Rodriguez (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810
> Liga MX Full Table


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