MX23RW : Friday, May 9 07:43:36| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | 2nd Leg
May 11, 2025 at 2am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
vs.
Monterrey

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Monterrey.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monterrey 3-2 Toluca
Thursday, May 8 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 3-2 Toluca
Thursday, May 8 at 2am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Toluca win with a probability of 48.27%. A win for Monterrey has a probability of 27.96% and a draw has a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Monterrey win is 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.05%).

Result
TolucaDrawMonterrey
48.27%23.76%27.96%
Both teams to score 58.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.88%43.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.48%65.52%
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.98%18.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.1%48.89%
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.36%28.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.56%64.44%
Score Analysis
    Toluca 48.27%
    Monterrey 27.96%
    Draw 23.75%
TolucaDrawMonterrey
2-1 @ 9.48%
1-0 @ 8.84%
2-0 @ 7.58%
3-1 @ 5.41%
3-0 @ 4.33%
3-2 @ 3.39%
4-1 @ 2.32%
4-0 @ 1.85%
4-2 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 48.27%
1-1 @ 11.05%
2-2 @ 5.93%
0-0 @ 5.16%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.75%
1-2 @ 6.92%
0-1 @ 6.45%
0-2 @ 4.04%
1-3 @ 2.88%
2-3 @ 2.47%
0-3 @ 1.68%
1-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 27.96%

Who will win Sunday's Liga MX clash between Toluca and Monterrey?

Toluca
Draw
Monterrey
Toluca
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Monterrey
0.0%
0
Head to Head
May 8, 2025 2am
Monterrey
3-2
Toluca
Deossa (44'), Canales (50'), Berterame (69')
Deossa (56'), Jareth Fimbres Ochoa (82')
Guzman (17' og.), Garcia (82')
Ruiz (56'), Paulinho (90+3'), Paulinho (90+3')
Jan 19, 2025 1am
Gameweek 2
Toluca
1-1
Monterrey
Helinho (11')
Barbosa (83')
Canales (47')
Moreno (66')
Sep 1, 2024 2am
Gameweek 6
Monterrey
1-2
Toluca
Vazquez (54' pen.)
Medina (90+8'), Berterame (90+11')
Gallardo (6'), Violante (87')
Ruiz (59'), Baeza (80'), Volpi (90+11')
Sep 1, 2024 2am
Gameweek 6
Monterrey
1-2
Toluca
Vazquez (54' pen.)
Medina (90+8'), Berterame (90+11')
Gallardo (6'), Violante (87')
Ruiz (59'), Baeza (80'), Volpi (90+11')
Feb 19, 2024 2.10am
Gameweek 7
Monterrey
0-0
Toluca
Garcia (71'), Baeza (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810


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