Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 69.57%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 11.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.89%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.