Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6
Sep 27, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade de l'Abbe Deschamps
Auxerre3 - 0Brest
We said: Auxerre 1-2 Brest
While both teams have faced challenging starts to 2024-25, the visitors look as if they are starting to pick up form with two successive wins heading into this one, suggesting a win for Brest. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 49.45%. A win for Brest had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Auxerre | Draw | Brest |
49.45% ( -0.21) | 23.99% ( -0.03) | 26.56% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 56.55% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.83% ( 0.33) | 45.17% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.48% ( 0.31) | 67.52% ( -0.31) |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.65% ( 0.04) | 18.35% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.54% ( 0.07) | 49.46% ( -0.07) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.25% ( 0.36) | 30.74% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.99% ( 0.42) | 67.01% ( -0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
Auxerre 49.45%
Brest 26.56%
Draw 23.99%
| Auxerre | Draw | Brest |
| 1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 5.41% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.45% Total : 49.45% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.99% | 0-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.95% Total : 26.56% |
How you voted: Auxerre vs Brest
Auxerre
23.5%Draw
10.2%Brest
66.3%98
Head to Head
May 14, 2023 2pm
Oct 2, 2022 2pm
Feb 11, 2019 7.45pm
Feb 7, 2019
12am
Aug 31, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 6
Auxerre
0-2
Brest
