Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 18, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade de l'Abbe Deschamps
Auxerre2 - 1Nice
We said: Auxerre 1-2 Nice
Auxerre will be eager to pick up points from their first match upon their return to Ligue 1, especially in front of their home crowd, but the visitors possess more quality throughout their squad and should take all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 51.71%. A win for Nice had a probability of 24.24% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Nice win was 0-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Auxerre | Draw | Nice |
51.71% ( -0.53) | 24.05% ( 0.14) | 24.24% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 54.05% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.6% ( -0.23) | 47.4% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.38% ( -0.22) | 69.62% ( 0.22) |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.67% ( -0.29) | 18.33% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.58% ( -0.5) | 49.42% ( 0.5) |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.17% ( 0.21) | 33.83% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.51% ( 0.22) | 70.49% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
Auxerre 51.7%
Nice 24.25%
Draw 24.05%
| Auxerre | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 10.51% 2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.39% Total : 51.7% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.05% | 0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.26% Total : 24.25% |
How you voted: Auxerre vs Nice
Auxerre
31.6%Draw
21.1%Nice
47.4%76
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2024 7.45pm
Mar 3, 2023 8pm
Oct 16, 2022 2pm
Oct 31, 2018 5.45pm
Third Round
Nice
3-2
Auxerre
Apr 21, 2012 4pm
