Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
Result | ||
Auxerre | Draw | Rennes |
38.28% ( 0.19) | 26.56% ( -0.13) | 35.16% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 52.29% ( 0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.4% ( 0.52) | 52.6% ( -0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.74% ( 0.45) | 74.26% ( -0.44) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.23% ( 0.35) | 26.77% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.95% ( 0.46) | 62.05% ( -0.45) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.4% ( 0.22) | 28.6% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.6% ( 0.27) | 64.4% ( -0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Auxerre | Draw | Rennes |
1-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.65% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.19% Total : 38.27% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 35.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |