Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 49.57%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.93%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-0 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Auxerre | Draw | Rennes |
25.35% ( -0.35) | 25.08% ( 0.24) | 49.57% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 51.92% ( -1.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.25% ( -1.25) | 50.75% ( 1.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.35% ( -1.11) | 72.64% ( 1.12) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.3% ( -0.97) | 34.7% ( 0.97) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.57% ( -1.04) | 71.43% ( 1.05) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.51% ( -0.45) | 20.49% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.03% ( -0.72) | 52.96% ( 0.73) |
Score Analysis |
Auxerre | Draw | Rennes |
1-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.13% Total : 25.35% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.93% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 5% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 4.72% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.65% Total : 49.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Reims | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |