MX23RW : Friday, May 9 22:52:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
AC Ajaccio
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Francois Coty
Lille

Ajaccio
1 - 3
Lille

Bayala (84')
Mangani (71'), Gonzalez (73'), Bayala (86')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Yazici (17'), Bamba (43'), Djalo (67')
Diakite (51'), Zhegrova (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Ajaccio and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rennes 2-1 Ajaccio
Sunday, August 21 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-7 PSG
Sunday, August 21 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Ajaccio 1-2 Lille

We expect to see a reaction from Lille on Friday after their humiliatingly heavy defeat to PSG last weekend. As such, another marginal defeat for newly-promoted Ajaccio may be on the cards, with Pantaloni facing an uphill battle to guide them to safety this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 35.85%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 31.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.18%) and 1-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 1-0 (13.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
AjaccioDrawLille
32.67% (-0.128 -0.13) 31.48% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06) 35.85% (0.183 0.18)
Both teams to score 38.35% (0.119 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
30.51% (0.144 0.14)69.49% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.09% (0.091999999999999 0.09)86.91% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.8% (-0.012 -0.01)39.2% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.09% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)75.91% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.07% (0.207 0.21)36.93% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.29% (0.206 0.21)73.72% (-0.208 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Ajaccio 32.67%
    Lille 35.85%
    Draw 31.47%
AjaccioDrawLille
1-0 @ 13.55% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.35% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 6.32% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 1.98% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.97% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 0.98% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 32.67%
0-0 @ 14.47% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-1 @ 13.5%
2-2 @ 3.15% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 31.47%
0-1 @ 14.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.18% (0.043 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.73% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.39% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.23% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.05% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 35.85%

How you voted: Ajaccio vs Lille

Ajaccio
Draw
Lille
Ajaccio
14.2%
Draw
14.2%
Lille
71.6%
134
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2014 1pm
Ajaccio
2-3
Lille
Tallo (1', 42')
Cavalli (24'), Tallo (72'), Hengbart (74')
Kalou (25' pen., 38', 74')
Gana Gueye (45'), Origi (67')
Soumaoro (81')
Oct 5, 2013 7pm
Feb 23, 2013 7pm
Ajaccio
1-3
Lille
Poulard (38' og.), Payet (67', 74')
Balmont (39')
Digne (61')
Oct 6, 2012 7pm
Lille
2-0
Ajaccio
Mendes (56'), Roux (42')
De Melo (59'), Balmont (66')

Mutu (3')
Apr 14, 2012 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG32246285335278
2Marseille32185967442359
3MonacoMonaco32177861372458
4Nice32169760392157
5Lille32169750331757
6StrasbourgStrasbourg32169753391457
7Lyon321661063441954
8Lens32146123738-148
9Brest32145135053-347
10Auxerre32118134647-141
11Rennes32122184746138
12Toulouse32108144040038
13Reims3289153243-1133
14Angers3296173050-2033
15NantesNantes32711143551-1632
16Le HavreLe Havre3294193666-3031
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne3276193574-3927
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier3244242272-5016


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