Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 36.53%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lorient in this match.
Result | ||
Angers | Draw | Lorient |
36.53% ( 0.15) | 27.79% ( -0.1) | 35.68% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 48.43% ( 0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.53% ( 0.4) | 57.47% ( -0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.73% ( 0.32) | 78.27% ( -0.31) |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.85% ( 0.29) | 30.15% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.71% ( 0.35) | 66.3% ( -0.34) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.33% ( 0.17) | 30.68% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.08% ( 0.2) | 66.93% ( -0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Angers | Draw | Lorient |
1-0 @ 11.08% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.34% Total : 36.52% | 1-1 @ 13.1% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.79% | 0-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 7.74% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.54% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.23% Total : 35.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |