Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 65.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Angers had a probability of 13.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.
Result | ||
Toulouse | Draw | Angers |
65.81% ( -0.31) | 20.21% ( 0.16) | 13.98% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 48.12% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.9% ( -0.33) | 46.11% ( 0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.6% ( -0.31) | 68.41% ( 0.32) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.84% ( -0.19) | 13.17% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.14% ( -0.39) | 39.86% ( 0.4) |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.42% ( 0.04) | 44.59% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.4% ( 0.03) | 80.6% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Toulouse | Draw | Angers |
2-0 @ 12.06% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 11.9% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.85% Total : 65.81% | 1-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( 0) Other @ 0.79% Total : 20.21% | 0-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.33% Total : 13.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 16 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 16 |
3 | Marseille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
4 | Reims | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
5 | Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
6 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
7 | NantesNantes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
8 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
9 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
10 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
11 | Lyon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
13 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
15 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
16 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 4 |
18 | Angers | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |