We said: Lorient 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain
With the effervescent Moffi back in the first XI and ready to trouble a PSG defence that has conceded six goals in their last three games, do not be surprised to see at least one of the hosts' attacks end with the ball in the back of the net.
However, Abergel's absence from the midfield is being well and truly felt, and PSG's attacking superstars should be up to their old tricks to condemn Lorient to a fourth game without a win.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 73.9%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 10.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.35%) and 1-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.4%), while for a Lorient win it was 2-1 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.