Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 65.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 16.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 1-0 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.31%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Lorient |
65.07% ( 0.13) | 18.6% ( -0.06) | 16.33% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 59.86% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.37% ( 0.14) | 33.63% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.55% ( 0.15) | 55.45% ( -0.16) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.26% ( 0.07) | 9.73% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.59% ( 0.16) | 32.41% ( -0.16) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.32% | 33.68% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.66% ( -0) | 70.33% |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Lorient |
2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.54% Total : 65.07% | 1-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 18.6% | 1-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 16.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 16 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 16 |
3 | Marseille | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 13 |
4 | Reims | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
5 | Lille | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
6 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
7 | NantesNantes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
8 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
9 | Nice | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
10 | Rennes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
11 | Lyon | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Auxerre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
13 | Brest | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 6 |
15 | Toulouse | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 5 |
16 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 4 |
18 | Angers | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |