Ligue 1 | Gameweek 31
Apr 16, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Louis II
Monaco3 - 1Lorient
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nantes 2-2 Monaco
Sunday, April 9 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, April 9 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 0-0 Marseille
Sunday, April 9 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, April 9 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
We said: Monaco 3-2 Lorient
Les Monegasques know how to turn it on at this time of the season, and although their defence has been leaky at home, their attacking options are far superior to what Lorient currently possess, and we expect them to do enough on Sunday to collect three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 65.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 16.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 1-0 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.31%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Lorient |
65.07% ( 0.13) | 18.6% ( -0.06) | 16.33% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 59.86% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.37% ( 0.14) | 33.63% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.55% ( 0.15) | 55.45% ( -0.16) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.26% ( 0.07) | 9.73% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 67.59% ( 0.16) | 32.41% ( -0.16) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.32% | 33.68% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.66% ( -0) | 70.33% |
| Score Analysis |
Monaco 65.07%
Lorient 16.33%
Draw 18.6%
| Monaco | Draw | Lorient |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.54% Total : 65.07% | 1-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 18.6% | 1-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.74% Total : 16.33% |
How you voted: Monaco vs Lorient
Monaco
87.1%Draw
6.5%Lorient
6.5%31
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2023 8pm
Aug 13, 2021 8pm
Feb 14, 2021 12pm
