Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Feb 11, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Lorient2 - 0Reims
We said: Lorient 1-2 Reims
The momentum may be with a Lorient side who consistently make the net ripple at home, but it is at the other end of the Stade du Moustoir turf where Les Merlus' problems lie, and 20 home goals shipped so far this term is a division high. With Reims also receiving two timely boosts in the form of Ito and Nakamura's returns, we expect Still's side to make it three wins on the trot against their hosts, who will be sent crashing back down to earth and potentially bottom spot with an 11th loss of the season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 51.95%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 24.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Lorient win was 2-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Reims |
24.8% ( -0.43) | 23.24% ( 0.03) | 51.95% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 57.31% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
