Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22

Feb 18, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stade Louis II.

Monaco
1 - 2
Toulouse

Akliouche (48')
Zakaria (27')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Sierro (41'), Costa (70')
Mawissa (65'), Donnum (82'), Restes (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nice 2-3 Monaco
Sunday, February 11 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Toulouse

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Benfica 2-1 Toulouse
Thursday, February 15 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Morale should be high in the Principality following that dazzling attacking display against Nice, and even without two key attacking pieces, we are tipping Monaco to defeat a side in Toulouse who have been far more inconsistent while lacking quality in the final third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 58.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 19.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-2 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Monaco	Draw	Toulouse
58.93% ( 3.29)	21.5% ( -1.28)	19.56% ( -2.02)

Both teams to score 55.92% (

1.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.2% (

41.79% (

-3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.8% (

2.96)

64.2% (

-2.96)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.14% (

2.09)

13.86% (

-2.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.74% (

3.97)

41.25% (

-3.97)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.91% (

-0.29)

35.08% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.17% (

-0.3)

71.83% (

0.29)

Score Analysis

Monaco 58.93%

Toulouse 19.56%

Draw 21.5%

Monaco	Draw	Toulouse
2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.57) 2-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.51) 3-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.53) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.24) 4-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.46) 4-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.46) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.23) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.26) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.26) Other @ 3.12% Total : 58.93%	1-1 @ 10.06% ( -0.69) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.69) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.5%	1-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.4) 0-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.76) 0-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.42) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.16) Other @ 1.94% Total : 19.56%