Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23
Feb 25, 2024 at 12pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Lens2 - 3Monaco
We said: Lens 1-1 Monaco
Given the high stakes at the top end of the Ligue 1 table, we certainly anticipate a tight encounter on Sunday with little to split the two sides. It is the hosts who are in better form in France's top flight, but with more fatigue from their extra midweek game and the visitors being boosted by two key men returning, we see a share of the points as the most likely outcome. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Monaco |
44.81% ( 0.13) | 24.19% ( 0.14) | 31% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 58.98% ( -0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
