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Ligue 1
Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7
Sep 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Louis II
Lyon

Monaco
2 - 1
Lyon

Badiashile (55'), Maripan (63')
Golovin (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Toko Ekambi (81')
Lukeba (65'), Lacazette (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

Last Six:
Last Game: Red Star 0-1 Monaco
Thursday, September 8 at 8pm in Europa League

Lyon

Last Six:
Last Game: Lorient 3-1 Lyon
Wednesday, September 7 at 6pm in Ligue 1

We said: Monaco 2-1 Lyon

 A showdown between a Monaco side under-performing on their own soil and a Lyon outfit struggling to replicate their home form on the road is a highly intriguing affair, especially with both sides more than capable of threatening on the attacking front no matter how leaky their backline is. Lyon may be boosted by some returns from injury, as well as enjoying an extra day's worth of rest, but Monaco are finally tightening up at the back and can feel confident of picking up a third win on the bounce. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.17%) and 0-2 (5.67%). The likeliest Monaco win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Monaco in this match.

Result
MonacoDrawLyon
36.58% (0.083000000000006 0.08) 23.87% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 39.55% (-0.107 -0.11)
Both teams to score 61.92% (-0.07 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.74% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)40.26% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.37% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)62.63% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.96% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.04% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.63% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)55.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.42% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)20.58% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.89% (-0.143 -0.14)53.11% (0.14 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 36.58%
    Lyon 39.55%
    Draw 23.86%
MonacoDrawLyon
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.86% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.19% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.13% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.62% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 36.58%
1-1 @ 10.84% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.48% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.54% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.72% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.86%
1-2 @ 8.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.17% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.52% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.42% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.35% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.18% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 39.55%

How you voted: Monaco vs Lyon

Monaco
50.0%
Draw
20.8%
Lyon
29.2%
130
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 8pm
Monaco
2-0
Lyon
Lucas (2'), Ben Yedder (27')
Maripan (69')

Dembele (64'), Boateng (69')
Oct 16, 2021 8pm
Lyon
2-0
Monaco
Toko Ekambi (75' pen.), Denayer (90')
Caqueret (77')

Disasi (73'), Lucas (76')
May 2, 2021 8pm
Monaco
2-3
Lyon
Volland (25'), Ben Yedder (86' pen.)
Fofana (63')
Geubbels (90+5'), Pellegri (90+5')
Depay (57'), Marcelo (77'), Cherki (89')
Caqueret (30'), Kadewere (72'), Lopes (86')
Caqueret (70'), Marcelo (90+5'), De Sciglio (90+5')
Apr 21, 2021 8.10pm
Lyon
0-2
Monaco

Diomande (7'), Mendes (9'), Paqueta (49'), De Sciglio (57'), Depay (68')
R. (23'), Diomande (51')
Ben Yedder (54' pen.), Volland (61')
Volland (1'), Ballo-Toure (56'), Kovac (57')
Oct 25, 2020 8pm
Lyon
4-1
Monaco
Depay (12'), Toko Ekambi (34', 44'), Aouar (41' pen.)
Kadewere (22'), Diomande (73'), Mendes (83')
Bard (89')
Ben Yedder (48' pen.)
Sidibe (40'), Matsima (50'), Aguilar (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG25205070244665
2Marseille25154652302249
3Nice25137549301946
4MonacoMonaco25135749321744
5Lille25128540271344
6Lyon25126746311542
7StrasbourgStrasbourg2511773932740
8Lens2510693029136
9Brest25113113840-236
10Toulouse259793227534
11Auxerre2587103638-231
12Rennes2592143536-129
13Angers2576122640-1427
14NantesNantes2559112843-1524
15Reims2557132640-1422
16Le HavreLe Havre2563162451-2721
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2555152557-3220
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier2543182159-3815
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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