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Ligue 1
Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7
Sep 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Louis II
Lyon

Monaco
2 - 1
Lyon

Badiashile (55'), Maripan (63')
Golovin (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Toko Ekambi (81')
Lukeba (65'), Lacazette (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

Last Six:
Last Game: Red Star 0-1 Monaco
Thursday, September 8 at 8pm in Europa League

Lyon

Last Six:
Last Game: Lorient 3-1 Lyon
Wednesday, September 7 at 6pm in Ligue 1

We said: Monaco 2-1 Lyon

 A showdown between a Monaco side under-performing on their own soil and a Lyon outfit struggling to replicate their home form on the road is a highly intriguing affair, especially with both sides more than capable of threatening on the attacking front no matter how leaky their backline is. Lyon may be boosted by some returns from injury, as well as enjoying an extra day's worth of rest, but Monaco are finally tightening up at the back and can feel confident of picking up a third win on the bounce. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.17%) and 0-2 (5.67%). The likeliest Monaco win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Monaco in this match.

Result
MonacoDrawLyon
36.58% (0.083000000000006 0.08) 23.87% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 39.55% (-0.107 -0.11)
Both teams to score 61.92% (-0.07 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.74% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)40.26% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.37% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)62.63% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.96% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.04% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.63% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)55.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.42% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)20.58% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.89% (-0.143 -0.14)53.11% (0.14 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 36.58%
    Lyon 39.55%
    Draw 23.86%
MonacoDrawLyon
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.86% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.19% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.13% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.62% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 36.58%
1-1 @ 10.84% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.48% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.54% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.72% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.86%
1-2 @ 8.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.17% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.52% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.42% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.35% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.18% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 39.55%

How you voted: Monaco vs Lyon

Monaco
50.0%
Draw
20.8%
Lyon
29.2%
130
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 8pm
Monaco
2-0
Lyon
Lucas (2'), Ben Yedder (27')
Maripan (69')

Dembele (64'), Boateng (69')
Oct 16, 2021 8pm
Lyon
2-0
Monaco
Toko Ekambi (75' pen.), Denayer (90')
Caqueret (77')

Disasi (73'), Lucas (76')
May 2, 2021 8pm
Monaco
2-3
Lyon
Volland (25'), Ben Yedder (86' pen.)
Fofana (63')
Geubbels (90+5'), Pellegri (90+5')
Depay (57'), Marcelo (77'), Cherki (89')
Caqueret (30'), Kadewere (72'), Lopes (86')
Caqueret (70'), Marcelo (90+5'), De Sciglio (90+5')
Apr 21, 2021 8.10pm
Lyon
0-2
Monaco

Diomande (7'), Mendes (9'), Paqueta (49'), De Sciglio (57'), Depay (68')
R. (23'), Diomande (51')
Ben Yedder (54' pen.), Volland (61')
Volland (1'), Ballo-Toure (56'), Kovac (57')
Oct 25, 2020 8pm
Lyon
4-1
Monaco
Depay (12'), Toko Ekambi (34', 44'), Aouar (41' pen.)
Kadewere (22'), Diomande (73'), Mendes (83')
Bard (89')
Ben Yedder (48' pen.)
Sidibe (40'), Matsima (50'), Aguilar (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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