Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
May 10, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
We said: Brest 2-1 Reims
With safety secured and only a top-half finish left to fight for this season, Reims should not be desperate for a new manager bounce under Diawara, and their defensive discipline has eluded them over the past few weeks.
Goals at either end are seemingly a guarantee in this one, but owing to the visitors' horrendous rearguard record on the road, Brest should take the spoils and do all they can to wrap up early Champions League qualification.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 48.06% . A win for Reims had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.3% .
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.58%) . The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (7.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood .
Result Brest Draw Reims 48.06% ( 0) 25.29% ( 0.01) 26.65% ( -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.41% ( -0.02)
49.34% ( -0.03) 50.66% ( 0.03)
27.44% ( -0.03) 72.56% ( 0.03)
78.9% ( -0.01) 21.1% ( 0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 46.08% ( -0.02) 53.92% ( 0.02)
66.42% ( -0.02) 33.58% ( 0.02)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 29.78% ( -0.02) 70.22% ( 0.02)
Brest 48.06%
Reims 26.65%
Draw 25.28%
Brest Draw Reims 1-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.45% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 48.06% 1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.28% 0-1 @ 7.73% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.56% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.22% 1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.36% Total : 26.65%
How you voted: Brest vs Reims
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rhs 2.0
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