Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33

May 10, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Ble

Brest
1 - 1
Reims

Brassier (45+2')
Magnetti (73'), Magnetti (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Munetsi (25')
Kone (9'), Stambouli (45+2'), Brassier (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Reims, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions

Last Game: Brest 0-0 Nantes
Saturday, May 4 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Reims

All competitions

Last Game: Clermont 4-1 Reims
Sunday, April 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

With safety secured and only a top-half finish left to fight for this season, Reims should not be desperate for a new manager bounce under Diawara, and their defensive discipline has eluded them over the past few weeks. Goals at either end are seemingly a guarantee in this one, but owing to the visitors' horrendous rearguard record on the road, Brest should take the spoils and do all they can to wrap up early Champions League qualification. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 48.06%. A win for Reims had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Brest	Draw	Reims
48.06% ( 0)	25.29% ( 0.01)	26.65% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 52.41% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.34% (

-0.03)

50.66% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.44% (

-0.03)

72.56% (

0.03)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.9% (

-0.01)

21.1% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.08% (

-0.02)

53.92% (

0.02)

Reims Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.42% (

-0.02)

33.58% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.78% (

-0.02)

70.22% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Brest 48.06%

Reims 26.65%

Draw 25.28%

Brest	Draw	Reims
1-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.45% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 48.06%	1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.28%	0-1 @ 7.73% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.56% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.22% 1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.36% Total : 26.65%