Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Feb 13, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
Brest5 - 1Troyes
We said: Brest 1-1 Troyes
Both sides are in somewhat uninspiring form currently and, whilst Brest have home advantage, the visitors have more to play for. With that in mind, we are backing a draw between the two on this occasion that would see both teams go home reasonably content. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 46.47%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 27.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Troyes win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brest | Draw | Troyes |
| 46.47% | 25.9% | 27.63% |
| Both teams to score 51.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
