Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 56.2%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Metz had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Metz |
| 56.2% | 24.2% | 19.6% |
| Both teams to score 47.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.99% | 53.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.4% | 74.6% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.27% | 18.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.9% | 50.1% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.46% | 41.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.97% | 78.03% |
| Score Analysis |
Lens 56.2%
Metz 19.6%
Draw 24.19%
| Lens | Draw | Metz |
| 1-0 @ 13.03% 2-0 @ 10.91% 2-1 @ 9.59% 3-0 @ 6.09% 3-1 @ 5.36% 4-0 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 2.24% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.09% Total : 56.2% | 1-1 @ 11.44% 0-0 @ 7.78% 2-2 @ 4.21% Other @ 0.76% Total : 24.19% | 0-1 @ 6.83% 1-2 @ 5.03% 0-2 @ 3% 1-3 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.03% Total : 19.6% |
How you voted: Lens vs Metz
Lens
84.6%Draw
7.7%Metz
7.7%52
Head to Head
Dec 19, 2020 4pm
Feb 7, 2019
12am
Sep 1, 2018 2pm
