Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Metz had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Metz |
42.16% | 27.49% | 30.35% |
Both teams to score 48.13% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.72% | 57.28% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.88% | 78.12% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.18% | 26.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.88% | 62.12% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.78% | 34.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.08% | 70.92% |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Metz |
1-0 @ 12.08% 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 7.95% 3-1 @ 3.74% 3-0 @ 3.49% 3-2 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.01% Total : 42.16% | 1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 9.18% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 9.84% 1-2 @ 6.95% 0-2 @ 5.28% 1-3 @ 2.48% 0-3 @ 1.89% 2-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.29% Total : 30.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |