Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Metz had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Metz |
42.16% | 27.49% | 30.35% |
Both teams to score 48.13% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.72% | 57.28% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.88% | 78.12% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.18% | 26.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.88% | 62.12% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.78% | 34.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.08% | 70.92% |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Metz |
1-0 @ 12.08% 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 7.95% 3-1 @ 3.74% 3-0 @ 3.49% 3-2 @ 2% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.01% Total : 42.16% | 1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 9.18% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 9.84% 1-2 @ 6.95% 0-2 @ 5.28% 1-3 @ 2.48% 0-3 @ 1.89% 2-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.29% Total : 30.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |