Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 53.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Metz had a probability of 20.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Metz win it was 1-0 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
