Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 47.99%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Reims had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Reims win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Reims |
47.99% ( -0) | 26.11% | 25.9% |
Both teams to score 49.33% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.62% | 54.38% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.24% ( 0) | 75.76% ( -0) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.33% ( 0) | 22.67% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.68% ( 0) | 56.32% ( -0) |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.79% ( 0) | 36.21% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.01% ( 0) | 72.99% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Reims |
1-0 @ 12.18% 2-1 @ 9.18% 2-0 @ 9.04% 3-1 @ 4.54% 3-0 @ 4.47% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 1.69% 4-0 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.92% Total : 47.99% | 1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 8.21% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.67% Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 8.34% 1-2 @ 6.29% 0-2 @ 4.24% 1-3 @ 2.13% 2-3 @ 1.58% 0-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 1.89% Total : 25.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |