Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Lens had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lens |
42.47% ( 0.01) | 23.57% | 33.96% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 62.48% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.69% ( -0.01) | 39.31% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.36% ( -0) | 61.64% ( 0.01) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.13% ( -0) | 18.87% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.67% ( -0) | 50.33% |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77% ( -0.01) | 22.99% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.2% ( -0.01) | 56.79% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lens |
2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.03% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.93% 3-2 @ 3.62% 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.06% 4-2 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 3.46% Total : 42.47% | 1-1 @ 10.63% 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.34% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 7.82% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.38% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.69% 1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.18% Total : 33.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |