Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 67.18%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 13.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Strasbourg |
67.18% (![]() | 19.56% (![]() | 13.26% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.3% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.17% (![]() | 44.83% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.81% (![]() | 67.19% (![]() |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.61% (![]() | 12.39% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.74% (![]() | 38.26% (![]() |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.13% (![]() | 44.87% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.17% (![]() | 80.83% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Strasbourg |
2-0 @ 12.12% (![]() 1-0 @ 11.6% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.72% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.44% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.76% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.41% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.53% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.71% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.84% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.42% ( ![]() Other @ 3.15% Total : 67.17% | 1-1 @ 9.3% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.56% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.89% Other @ 0.81% Total : 19.56% | 0-1 @ 4.45% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.73% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.04% 1-3 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 1.26% Total : 13.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 26 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 73 | 25 | 48 | 68 |
2 | Marseille | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 49 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 47 |
4 | Nice | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 47 |
5 | Lyon | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 17 | 45 |
6 | Lille | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 44 |
7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 43 |
8 | Lens | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 39 |
9 | Brest | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
10 | Toulouse | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 34 |
11 | Auxerre | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 32 |
12 | Rennes | 26 | 9 | 2 | 15 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 29 |
13 | NantesNantes | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 27 |
14 | Angers | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Reims | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 23 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 21 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 57 | -32 | 20 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 25 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 15 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |