MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 23:46:22| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Apr 7, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
Strasbourg

Lens
2 - 1
Strasbourg

Frankowski (11'), Medina (65')
Abdul Samed (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gameiro (84')
Bellegarde (22'), Djiku (79'), Perrin (88'), Diallo (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rennes 0-1 Lens
Saturday, April 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 4-3 Strasbourg
Sunday, April 2 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 2-0 Strasbourg

Strasbourg have cause problems for Lens in recent meetings and will hope to frustrate their opponents again on Friday as they bid to steer themselves clear of the relegation zone. However, Haise's men have excelled on home soil this term and they should have enough quality in their side to secure a fourth successive Ligue 1 victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 67.18%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 13.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LensDrawStrasbourg
67.18% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06) 19.56% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 13.26% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.3% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.17% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)44.83% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.81% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)67.19% (0.075999999999993 0.08)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.61% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)12.39% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.74% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)38.26% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.13% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)44.87% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.17% (-0.004999999999999 -0)80.83% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lens 67.17%
    Strasbourg 13.26%
    Draw 19.56%
LensDrawStrasbourg
2-0 @ 12.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 11.6% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 8.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.53% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.84% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.48% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 67.17%
1-1 @ 9.3% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.56% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.89%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 19.56%
0-1 @ 4.45% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.73% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.04%
1-3 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 13.26%

How you voted: Lens vs Strasbourg

Lens
85.0%
Draw
6.3%
Strasbourg
8.8%
80
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2023 8pm
Strasbourg
2-2
Lens
Prcic (13'), Gameiro (16')
Perrin (27')
Claude-Maurice (11'), Openda (33')
Onana (4')
Apr 3, 2022 12pm
Strasbourg
1-0
Lens
Ajorque (67' pen.)
Guilbert (5'), Lienard (27'), Aholou (37')

Doucoure (30')
Sep 22, 2021 8pm
Lens
0-1
Strasbourg

Doucoure (11'), Kalimuendo (77')
Danso (50')
Ajorque (67')
Djiku (56'), Diallo (63'), Le Marchand (81')
Mar 21, 2021 12pm
Strasbourg
1-2
Lens
Bellegarde (20')
T. (42'), Thomasson (42'), Sissoko (44')
Haidara (5'), Fofana (40')
Bade (19'), Medina (44'), Doucoure (86'), Jean (90'), Leca (90+3')
Jan 9, 2021 8pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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