Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 67.18%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 13.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Lens | Draw | Strasbourg |
67.18% (![]() | 19.56% (![]() | 13.26% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.3% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.17% (![]() | 44.83% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.81% (![]() | 67.19% (![]() |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.61% (![]() | 12.39% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.74% (![]() | 38.26% (![]() |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.13% (![]() | 44.87% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.17% (![]() | 80.83% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Lens | Draw | Strasbourg |
2-0 @ 12.12% (![]() 1-0 @ 11.6% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.72% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.44% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.76% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.41% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.53% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.71% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.84% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.42% ( ![]() Other @ 3.15% Total : 67.17% | 1-1 @ 9.3% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.56% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.89% Other @ 0.81% Total : 19.56% | 0-1 @ 4.45% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.73% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.04% 1-3 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 1.26% Total : 13.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 22 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 59 | 20 | 39 | 56 |
2 | Marseille | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 46 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 40 |
4 | Nice | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Lille | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 35 |
6 | Lyon | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Lens | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 33 |
8 | Brest | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 32 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 30 |
10 | Toulouse | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 27 |
11 | Auxerre | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 25 |
12 | Rennes | 21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 23 |
13 | Angers | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 23 |
14 | Reims | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 22 |
15 | NantesNantes | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 21 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 50 | -30 | 18 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 21 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 17 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 48 | -28 | 15 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |