Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Lille had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Monaco in this match.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Lille |
41.13% ( -0.27) | 25.27% ( -0.06) | 33.6% ( 0.34) |
Both teams to score 56.28% ( 0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.65% ( 0.34) | 47.35% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.43% ( 0.32) | 69.57% ( -0.32) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.11% ( 0.01) | 22.89% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.36% ( 0.02) | 56.64% ( -0.02) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.98% ( 0.37) | 27.02% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.63% ( 0.48) | 62.37% ( -0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Lille |
1-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 41.13% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.06% Total : 33.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
6 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
15 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
16 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |