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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29
Apr 24, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Louis II.
Lille

Monaco
1 - 0
Lille

Fofana (61')
Akliouche (38')
FT(HT: 0-0)

David (54'), Bouaddi (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brest 0-2 Monaco
Sunday, April 21 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Monaco 2-2 Lille

Despite both sides winning three games on the trot, Wednesday's game is tricky to call. Monaco's form at Stade Louis II is questionable, while Lille's road results leave much to be desired. The home side's 11-game undefeated streak against the Mastiffs should become 12, with both sides possibly cancelling each other out in midweek. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Lille had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Monaco in this match.

Result
MonacoDrawLille
41.13% (-0.275 -0.27) 25.27% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06) 33.6% (0.335 0.34)
Both teams to score 56.28% (0.295 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.65% (0.341 0.34)47.35% (-0.34200000000001 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.43% (0.315 0.32)69.57% (-0.316 -0.32)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.11% (0.013000000000005 0.01)22.89% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.36% (0.018999999999998 0.02)56.64% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.98% (0.36999999999999 0.37)27.02% (-0.37 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.63% (0.483 0.48)62.37% (-0.485 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 41.13%
    Lille 33.6%
    Draw 25.27%
MonacoDrawLille
1-0 @ 9.12% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-1 @ 8.8% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.72% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.3% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.22% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 41.13%
1-1 @ 11.93% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.18% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 8.09% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.81% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.3% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.41% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.31% (0.039 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 33.6%

How you voted: Monaco vs Lille

Monaco
61.5%
Draw
25.0%
Lille
13.5%
104
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 10
Lille
2-0
Monaco
Cavaleiro (32'), Diakite (42')
Yazici (67')

Singo (48'), Zakaria (50')
May 14, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 35
Monaco
0-0
Lille
Oct 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Lille
4-3
Monaco
Alexsandro (22'), Cabella (39', 62'), Bamba (71')
Henrique (34'), Disasi (44'), Ben Yedder (53')
May 6, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 36
Lille
1-2
Monaco
Gomes (69')
Celik (39'), Fonte (51'), Andre (87'), Bamba (90')
Tchouameni (42', 75')
Ben Yedder (66')
Nov 19, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 14
Monaco
2-2
Lille
Diatta (41'), Ben Yedder (83')
Pavlovic (3'), Fofana (84')
Pavlovic (78')
David (5' pen., 9')
Celik (7'), David (37'), Yazici (68'), Weah (73'), Niasse (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon125431916319
6Reims125342016418
7Nice1145221111017
8Lens124531312117
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Rennes113261318-511
15NantesNantes112451417-310
16Angers112451320-710
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217


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