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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Mar 22, 2025 at 6.30pm UK
TQL Stadium
Atlanta United

Cincinnati
2 - 2
Atlanta

Evander (70', 75')
Engel (9'), Kubo (27'), Yedlin (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Latte Lath (50'), Powell (88' og.)
Reilly (27'), Edwards (69'), Latte Lath (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-0 Cincinnati
Saturday, March 15 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 Inter Miami
Sunday, March 16 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-0 Atlanta United

The two sides met in a pre-season friendly back in February, playing out a 2-2 draw – however, much has changed since then, and the momentum now appears to be with Cincy given their strong home form this season, which is why we think they will secure a third successive MLS victory over Atlanta. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 21.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawAtlanta United
55.33% (0.666 0.67) 22.79% (0.059999999999999 0.06) 21.88% (-0.726 -0.73)
Both teams to score 55.2% (-1.201 -1.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.53% (-1.124 -1.12)44.47% (1.125 1.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.16% (-1.098 -1.1)66.84% (1.099 1.1)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.06% (-0.16799999999999 -0.17)15.94% (0.168 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.79% (-0.308 -0.31)45.21% (0.308 0.31)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.66% (-1.295 -1.3)34.33% (1.295 1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.96% (-1.409 -1.41)71.04% (1.411 1.41)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 55.32%
    Atlanta United 21.88%
    Draw 22.79%
FC CincinnatiDrawAtlanta United
1-0 @ 10.04% (0.417 0.42)
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.23% (0.34 0.34)
3-1 @ 6.04% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.65% (0.177 0.18)
3-2 @ 3.23% (-0.128 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.77% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.59% (0.066 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.068 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 55.32%
1-1 @ 10.74% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.47% (0.262 0.26)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.178 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.79%
0-1 @ 5.85% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 5.74% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-2 @ 3.13% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.05% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 21.88%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Atlanta

FC Cincinnati
Draw
Atlanta United
FC Cincinnati
72.2%
Draw
11.1%
Atlanta United
16.7%
18
Head to Head
May 16, 2024 12.30am
Apr 21, 2024 12.30am
Atlanta
1-2
Cincinnati
Almada (59')
Fortune (68')
Orellano (62'), Acosta (64')
Robinson (83'), Bucha (89'), Bucha (90+2'), Acosta (90+2')
Oct 21, 2023 11pm
Cincinnati
2-2
Atlanta
Badji (25'), Acosta (45+2')
Miazga (73')
Giakoumakis (12', 32')
Almada (36'), Thiare (85')
Almada (51')
Aug 31, 2023 12.30am
Aug 14, 2022 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Charlotte FCCharlotte FC9612167919
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati96121311219
3Inter MiamiInter Miami8530136718
4Columbus Crew9531127518
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia9513169716
6Orlando City93421512313
7Nashville SCNashville94141211113
8Chicago Fire93331615112
9New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls9333109112
10New York City FCNY City93241113-211
11New England RevolutionNew England831467-110
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta92341116-59
13DC United92341119-89
14Toronto9144813-57
15CF MontrealMontreal9036413-93

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver96211761120
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd9441117416
3Austin FCAustin951378-116
4Portland TimbersPortland94321613315
5Colorado RapidsColorado94321313015
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles94141314-113
7Seattle SoundersSeattle93331211112
8Dallas93331011-112
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes93151917210
10St Louis City923456-19
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9306814-69
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas92161519-47
13Houston DynamoHouston9144814-67
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy9036616-103
15San Diego FC00000000


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