MX23RW : Saturday, March 22 05:16:39| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Port Vale
League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Morecambe

Port Vale
vs.
Morecambe

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Port Vale and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 3-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 2-2 Barrow
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in League Two

We say: Port Vale 3-1 Morecambe

Port Vale are certainly the favourites given the difference in league position, and with the hosts also winning each of the last three clashes at Vale Park, we expect another victory for the Valiants. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Port Vale win with a probability of 56.6%. A draw has a probability of 24.6% and a win for Morecambe has a probability of 18.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Morecambe win it is 0-1 (7.08%).

Result
Port ValeDrawMorecambe
56.6% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 24.64% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 18.76% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Both teams to score 44.99% (-0.205 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.33% (-0.217 -0.22)55.67% (0.219 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.18% (-0.176 -0.18)76.82% (0.178 0.18)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.41% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)19.6% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.47% (-0.12 -0.12)51.53% (0.122 0.12)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.96% (-0.203 -0.2)44.04% (0.205 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.84% (-0.166 -0.17)80.16% (0.169 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 56.59%
    Morecambe 18.76%
    Draw 24.64%
Port ValeDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 14.06% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 11.46% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.23% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.11% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.54% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.08% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 56.59%
1-1 @ 11.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.63% (0.073 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.85% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 24.64%
0-1 @ 7.08% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.73% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.9% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.29% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 18.76%

Who will win Saturday's League Two clash between Port Vale and Morecambe?

Port Vale
Draw
Morecambe
Port Vale
84.6%
Draw
7.7%
Morecambe
7.7%
13
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 16
Morecambe
0-1
Port Vale
Chislett (83')
Chislett (83'), Baker-Boatiey (85')
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Morecambe
1-0
Port Vale
Major (51')
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 41
Port Vale
1-0
Morecambe
Smith (34')
Oyeleke (14'), Brisley (26'), Rodney (89')

Lavelle (34')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 4
Morecambe
1-0
Port Vale
Phillips (76' pen.)
Gibson (85'), O'Sullivan (90+5')

Legge (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall37209867432469
2Bradford CityBradford37199948311766
3AFC Wimbledon371891049262363
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster371891054441063
5Notts County3717101056391761
6Port Vale361613747371061
7Colchester UnitedColchester371416745331258
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe37141584538757
9Grimsby Town37175155154-356
10Salford City371411124441353
11Bromley371313114845352
12Chesterfield361491358441451
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham371311135154-350
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood371213124946349
15Swindon TownSwindon371114125555047
16Newport CountyNewport37137174861-1346
17BarrowBarrow36128164043-344
18MK Dons36126184653-742
19Gillingham36119163139-842
20Accrington StanleyAccrington371010174555-1040
21Harrogate TownHarrogate37117192948-1940
22Tranmere RoversTranmere37812172855-2736
23Morecambe3786233356-2330
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3669212653-2727


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