We say: Sudan 0-1 Senegal
Both teams come into this clash in strong form, but despite Sudan's impressive run in the qualifiers, playing at a neutral venue could prove a disadvantage as they face their toughest test yet against a side of Senegal's calibre.
While the Teranga Lions are expected to assert their status as favourites, breaking down Northeast Africans' well-organised defence — having conceded just once in the campaign — will not be straightforward.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Senegal win with a probability of 66.05%. A draw has a probability of 22.5% and a win for Sudan has a probability of 11.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win is 0-1 with a probability of 17.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (15.16%) and 0-3 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (10.05%), while for a Sudan win it is 1-0 (5.64%).
0.03) 
-0.03) 
