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Minnesota United
Major League Soccer
Mar 22, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Allianz Field
LA Galaxy

Minnesota Utd
2 - 2
LA Galaxy

Yeboah (18', 87' pen.)
Sang-bin (12'), Romero (73')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ramirez (26'), Emiro Garces Torres (90')
Pec (45+2'), Wynder (56'), Fagundez (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kansas 3-3 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, March 16 at 12.15am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 1-1 LA Galaxy
Sunday, March 16 at 8.45pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Minnesota United 1-1 Los Angeles Galaxy

LA Galaxy are struggling for both confidence and goals at the moment, but a team of their calibre can never be entirely ruled out – however, given Minnesota's strong home form and recent home dominance in this fixture, the hosts should have enough to take something from this encounter, which is why we anticipate a closely contested affair ending in a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 49.31%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
49.31% (0.594 0.59) 22.57% (-0.1 -0.1) 28.12% (-0.492 -0.49)
Both teams to score 62.87% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.58% (0.134 0.13)37.42% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.36% (0.145 0.14)59.64% (-0.146 -0.15)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.51% (0.258 0.26)15.49% (-0.258 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.62% (0.48 0.48)44.38% (-0.48 -0.48)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (-0.25699999999999 -0.26)25.6% (0.258 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.52% (-0.352 -0.35)60.48% (0.352 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 49.31%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 28.12%
    Draw 22.56%
Minnesota UnitedDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.4% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.9% (0.078 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.84% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.29% (0.086 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.98% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.72% (0.059 0.06)
4-0 @ 2% (0.058 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.86% (0.027 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 49.31%
1-1 @ 10.07% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.4% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.97% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 22.56%
1-2 @ 6.87% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-1 @ 5.4% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.68% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.67% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 28.12%

How you voted: Minnesota Utd vs LA Galaxy

Minnesota United
Draw
Los Angeles Galaxy
Minnesota United
60.0%
Draw
10.0%
Los Angeles Galaxy
30.0%
10
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2024 11.15pm
MLS Cup Conference Semi-Finals
LA Galaxy
6-2
Minnesota Utd
Pec (1', 50'), Joveljic (18', 89'), Paintsil (37', 86')
Paintsil (45'), Puig (58'), Delgado (90+4')
Yeboah (6', 45+4')
Hlongwane (53'), Dotson (62'), Abel Diaz Beleno (68')
Abel Diaz Beleno (82')
Jul 8, 2024 3.30am
LA Galaxy
2-1
Minnesota Utd
Pec (25', 90')
Nelson (20'), Puig (22')
Pukki (73')
Sang-bin (89')
May 16, 2024 1.30am
Oct 8, 2023 1.30am
Minnesota Utd
5-2
LA Galaxy
Dotson (33'), Pukki (45', 60', 67', 76')
Boyd (41'), Joveljic (82')
Yoshida (50')
Sep 21, 2023 3.30am
LA Galaxy
4-3
Minnesota Utd
Sharp (16', 63', 71'), Fagundez (82')
Boyd (54'), Sharp (67'), Delgado (81'), Edwards (90+1')
Pukki (19'), Hlongwane (41', 45+5')
Tapias (27'), Gregus (28'), Boxall (29'), Briston (54'), Tajouri (88')
Briston (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Charlotte FCCharlotte FC9612167919
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati96121311219
3Inter MiamiInter Miami8530136718
4Columbus Crew9531127518
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia9513169716
6Orlando City93421512313
7Nashville SCNashville94141211113
8Chicago Fire93331615112
9New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls9333109112
10New York City FCNY City93241113-211
11New England RevolutionNew England831467-110
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta92341116-59
13DC United92341119-89
14Toronto9144813-57
15CF MontrealMontreal9036413-93

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver96211761120
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd9441117416
3Austin FCAustin951378-116
4Portland TimbersPortland94321613315
5Colorado RapidsColorado94321313015
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles94141314-113
7Seattle SoundersSeattle93331211112
8Dallas93331011-112
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes93151917210
10St Louis City923456-19
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9306814-69
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas92161519-47
13Houston DynamoHouston9144814-67
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy9036616-103
15San Diego FC00000000


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