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Minnesota United
Major League Soccer
Mar 22, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Allianz Field
LA Galaxy

Minnesota Utd
vs.
LA Galaxy

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kansas 3-3 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, March 16 at 12.15am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 1-1 LA Galaxy
Sunday, March 16 at 8.45pm in Major League Soccer

We say: Minnesota United 1-1 Los Angeles Galaxy

LA Galaxy are struggling for both confidence and goals at the moment, but a team of their calibre can never be entirely ruled out – however, given Minnesota's strong home form and recent home dominance in this fixture, the hosts should have enough to take something from this encounter, which is why we anticipate a closely contested affair ending in a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Minnesota United win with a probability of 49.31%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy has a probability of 28.12% and a draw has a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win is 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.07%).

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
49.31% (0.594 0.59) 22.57% (-0.1 -0.1) 28.12% (-0.492 -0.49)
Both teams to score 62.87% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.58% (0.134 0.13)37.42% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.36% (0.145 0.14)59.64% (-0.146 -0.15)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.51% (0.258 0.26)15.49% (-0.258 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.62% (0.48 0.48)44.38% (-0.48 -0.48)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (-0.25699999999999 -0.26)25.6% (0.258 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.52% (-0.352 -0.35)60.48% (0.352 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 49.31%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 28.12%
    Draw 22.56%
Minnesota UnitedDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.4% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.9% (0.078 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.84% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.29% (0.086 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.98% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.72% (0.059 0.06)
4-0 @ 2% (0.058 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.86% (0.027 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 49.31%
1-1 @ 10.07% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.4% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.97% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 22.56%
1-2 @ 6.87% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-1 @ 5.4% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.68% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.12% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.67% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 28.12%

Who will win Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota Utd and LA Galaxy?

Minnesota United
Draw
Los Angeles Galaxy
Minnesota United
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Los Angeles Galaxy
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2024 11.15pm
MLS Cup Conference Semi-Finals
LA Galaxy
6-2
Minnesota Utd
Pec (1', 50'), Joveljic (18', 89'), Paintsil (37', 86')
Paintsil (45'), Puig (58'), Delgado (90+4')
Yeboah (6', 45+4')
Hlongwane (53'), Dotson (62'), Abel Diaz Beleno (68')
Abel Diaz Beleno (82')
Jul 8, 2024 3.30am
LA Galaxy
2-1
Minnesota Utd
Pec (25', 90')
Nelson (20'), Puig (22')
Pukki (73')
Sang-bin (89')
May 16, 2024 1.30am
Oct 8, 2023 1.30am
Minnesota Utd
5-2
LA Galaxy
Dotson (33'), Pukki (45', 60', 67', 76')
Boyd (41'), Joveljic (82')
Yoshida (50')
Sep 21, 2023 3.30am
LA Galaxy
4-3
Minnesota Utd
Sharp (16', 63', 71'), Fagundez (82')
Boyd (54'), Sharp (67'), Delgado (81'), Edwards (90+1')
Pukki (19'), Hlongwane (41', 45+5')
Tapias (27'), Gregus (28'), Boxall (29'), Briston (54'), Tajouri (88')
Briston (74')
rhs 2.0
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