Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 47.88%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.