Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 54.01%. A win for St Louis City has a probability of 23.86% and a draw has a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest St Louis City win is 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.1%).