Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 56.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Strasbourg |
56.19% ( -0.29) | 22.71% ( 0.2) | 21.1% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 54.36% ( -0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.96% ( -0.78) | 45.04% ( 0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.61% ( -0.76) | 67.39% ( 0.75) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.15% ( -0.37) | 15.84% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.96% ( -0.69) | 45.03% ( 0.68) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.6% ( -0.37) | 35.39% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.84% ( -0.38) | 72.16% ( 0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Strasbourg |
1-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 6.07% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.42% Total : 56.18% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.7% | 0-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 1.93% Total : 21.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 37 | 11 | 26 | 34 |
2 | Marseille | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 29 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 29 |
4 | Lille | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 26 |
5 | Lyon | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 23 |
7 | Lens | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 23 |
8 | Auxerre | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 20 |
9 | Reims | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
10 | Toulouse | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Brest | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 14 |
13 | NantesNantes | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 14 |
14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 14 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 8 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |