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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Sep 21, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Strasbourg

Lille
3 - 3
Strasbourg

Zhegrova (15', 27'), David (84' pen.)
Andre (64'), Diakite (70')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Santos (30'), Emegha (42'), Nanasi (66')
Sow (7'), Senaya (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 Lille
Tuesday, September 17 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-1 Angers
Sunday, September 15 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 2-1 Strasbourg

While Lille's recent record paints a fairly grim picture, it is worth noting that three of their last four defeats have been against European opponents and PSG, and only the defeat to Les Parisiens was on their home patch. Strasbourg have looked impressive in attack this season, but we fancy the hosts to outscore them in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 56.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
LilleDrawStrasbourg
56.19% (-0.29 -0.29) 22.71% (0.202 0.2) 21.1% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Both teams to score 54.36% (-0.547 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.96% (-0.785 -0.78)45.04% (0.78 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.61% (-0.758 -0.76)67.39% (0.752 0.75)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.15% (-0.371 -0.37)15.84% (0.365 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.96% (-0.686 -0.69)45.03% (0.67899999999999 0.68)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.6% (-0.367 -0.37)35.39% (0.359 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.84% (-0.379 -0.38)72.16% (0.374 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Lille 56.18%
    Strasbourg 21.1%
    Draw 22.7%
LilleDrawStrasbourg
1-0 @ 10.33% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.52% (0.08 0.08)
3-1 @ 6.07% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-0 @ 5.85% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.8% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.69% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.054 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 56.18%
1-1 @ 10.73% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 5.61% (0.186 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.7%
0-1 @ 5.82% (0.137 0.14)
1-2 @ 5.57% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.02% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 21.1%

How you voted: Lille vs Strasbourg

Lille
79.6%
Draw
14.3%
Strasbourg
6.1%
49
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 30
Lille
1-0
Strasbourg
David (12')
Alexsandro (23'), Fonseca (24'), Santos (90+5')

Sow (44'), Diarra (59'), Sylla (90+8')
Dec 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Strasbourg
2-1
Lille
Yoro (41' og.), Mwanga (76')
Sylla (45')
Sylla (20' og.)
Andre (32'), Zhegrova (62')
Feb 12, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 23
Lille
2-0
Strasbourg
David (23' pen., 28')
Oct 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 11
Strasbourg
0-3
Lille
David (41' pen., 76'), Cabella (80')
Apr 24, 2022 4.05pm
Gameweek 34
Lille
1-0
Strasbourg
Celik (87')
Gudmundsson (36'), Botman (60')

Perrin (40'), Guilbert (70'), Djiku (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14104037112634
2Marseille1492331171429
3MonacoMonaco1492324121229
4Lille1475224141026
5Lyon147432617925
6Nice146532617923
7Lens146531712523
8Auxerre146262121020
9Reims145452018219
10Toulouse145361516-118
11Brest145182026-616
12Rennes144281820-214
13NantesNantes143561620-414
14StrasbourgStrasbourg143562227-514
15Angers143471424-1013
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne144191132-2113
17Le HavreLe Havre1440101126-1512
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1422101336-238


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