Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Sep 21, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Lille3 - 3Strasbourg
We said: Lille 2-1 Strasbourg
While Lille's recent record paints a fairly grim picture, it is worth noting that three of their last four defeats have been against European opponents and PSG, and only the defeat to Les Parisiens was on their home patch. Strasbourg have looked impressive in attack this season, but we fancy the hosts to outscore them in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 56.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Strasbourg |
56.19% ( -0.29) | 22.71% ( 0.2) | 21.1% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 54.36% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
