Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Sep 21, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Lille3 - 3Strasbourg
We said: Lille 2-1 Strasbourg
While Lille's recent record paints a fairly grim picture, it is worth noting that three of their last four defeats have been against European opponents and PSG, and only the defeat to Les Parisiens was on their home patch. Strasbourg have looked impressive in attack this season, but we fancy the hosts to outscore them in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 56.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Strasbourg |
56.19% ( -0.29) | 22.71% ( 0.2) | 21.1% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 54.36% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.96% ( -0.78) | 45.04% ( 0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.61% ( -0.76) | 67.39% ( 0.75) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.15% ( -0.37) | 15.84% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.96% ( -0.69) | 45.03% ( 0.68) |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.6% ( -0.37) | 35.39% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.84% ( -0.38) | 72.16% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
Lille 56.18%
Strasbourg 21.1%
Draw 22.7%
| Lille | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 1-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 6.07% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.42% Total : 56.18% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.7% | 0-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 1.93% Total : 21.1% |
How you voted: Lille vs Strasbourg
Lille
79.6%Draw
14.3%Strasbourg
6.1%49
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 30
Lille
1-0
Strasbourg
Feb 12, 2023 2pm
Oct 14, 2022 8pm
Apr 24, 2022 4.05pm
Gameweek 34
Lille
1-0
Strasbourg
Form Guide
